Category Archives: Equities

Can You Say “Dubya” Bottom?

That sure looks like a W bottom on the S&P500,  no?  Not the classic trajectory and confirmation, not to mention the compressed time frame, but you’ve got to respect the price action.  The macro swans are still out, so the … Continue reading

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Stocks Say Yes, Gold Says No, I-Lean Gets Slammed

WTF was that?  S&P500 up 3.43 percent  and the GLD down 3.80 percent and that’s not counting the spike to over 1,900 cash gold in after hours trading.   How are the fundamentalists going to reconcile and stick that in the … Continue reading

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S&P500 Faces a Fork in the Road

“When you come to a fork in the road, take it.” – Yogi Berra Lot’s of chatter out there about the 2008 and 2010 analog for the S&P500 so we constructed a tracking chart for you.   Note the index is … Continue reading

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Margin Call Coming This Fall

Timing couldn’t be more perfect, no?  Maybe we get a bottom in equities on the release date.  Go here to the movie’s official website. (click here if video is not observable)

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Mr. Toad’s Wild Ride!

Wow! What a day.  Incredible moves.   Scared markets.   Capital stampeding like buffalo not knowing where to go.   Great if you’re on the right side of the volatility, but you still needed a neck brace from the whiplash. It’s gonna … Continue reading

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Monitoring the Armageddon Trade – Day 5

Only one of the Four Horsemen of the our Armageddon Trade is misbehaving, that is, not confirming by moving in the wrong direction.  Stocks, which, some have touted as the new safe haven, have been hit the most and dollar … Continue reading

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Monitoring the Armageddon Trade – Day 4

Looks like the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse spent the day watering their horses.  Not much happening in our Armageddon Trade today.  Gold, which is trading poorly,  bounced off the lows and stocks reversed a decent rally to close lower.   … Continue reading

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Monitoring the Armageddon Trade – Day 3

The Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse were split on the Armageddon Trade today.  Gold and the dollar diverged and were non-confirming, though stocks got hammered and took out some short-term technicals.  Bonds rallied off lows to close essentially flat.    … Continue reading

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Monitoring the Armageddon Trade – Day 2

Still no panic, but lower.  The dollar took the biggest beating and looks ready to take out its May lows.  Only T-Bonds of the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse moved contrary to what we call the Armageddon trade, where gold … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Credit, Currency, Dollar, Equities, Fiscal Policy, Gold | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

Monitoring the Armageddon Trade

The following charts illustrate today’s performance of “The Four Horsemen” of our Armageddon trade, which we posted earlier.  That is, the markets were monitoring for large concurrent moves which would signal a loss of confidence in the U.S. government and … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Charts, Dollar, Equities, Gold | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments