Category Archives: Uncategorized

Happy Birthday, Jackie

One of the all-time great Americans. Today marks what would have been Jackie Robinson’s 100th birthday. From rural Georgia, to the Pasadena gridiron, to Ebbets Field and beyond, Jackie left an indelible mark on the world. We remember him today … Continue reading →

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Why are so many US college students homeless?

Two-speed economies everywhere you look. Young And Left Do you wonder why the young are moving lefty? The one percenters better start stepping up making social investments to generate a more stable future society in order to protect their wealth.  … Continue reading →

Posted in Politics, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 11 Comments

The Fed Is Done…

I think I heard Powell just say in the QA that the Fed is finished raising rates.   Rather stunning given the real fed funds rate is close to zero, coupled with his statement economy is doing well. Markets should rally … Continue reading →

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Fed’s Failure To Communicate, Markets’ Failure To Count

Not to beat a dead horse but the following example just reinforces our last post. What the market perceives, Investors who are hoping the Federal Reserve signals a change or adjustment in its balance sheet policy on Wednesday are likely … Continue reading →

Posted in Fed, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

How Chair Powell Could Spark A Massive Rally By Doing Nothing

Summary The market is irrationally obsessed with the “$600 billion” annual roll-off in the Fed’s balance sheet The actual reduction in the balance sheet will be much smaller and is determined by the profile of monthly Treasury and MBS securities … Continue reading →

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How A Market Trends

Caption: "Our Guanxi gone a droving down the Yangtze and we don't know where he are"Or"There's an awful lot of Peking duck in China"Or"Lining up the Morrison election stunts"? pic.twitter.com/dYaWEEVBsK — Michael Pascoe (@MichaelPascoe01) January 29, 2019  

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Inside China’s High-Tech Dystopia – Bloomberg

In part three of Hello World Shenzhen, Bloomberg Businessweek’s Ashlee Vance heads out into a city where you can’t use cash or credit cards, only your smartphone, where AI facial-recognition software instantly spots and tickets jaywalkers, and where at least … Continue reading →

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Venezuela, Debt, and Gunboat Diplomacy 2.0

Traders bought up Venezuelan bonds last week on the announcement of the U.S. administration’s policy shift to delegitimize President Nicolás Maduro and recognize the opposition leader,  Juan Guaidó. When was the last major sovereign debt restructuring in Venezuela? The Brady … Continue reading →

Posted in Emerging Markets, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Week In Review – January 25

Summary Modest gains for most risk markets last week Big rallies in Turkey and Mexico bond markets. Mexico inflation comes in better than expected Some weakness in lower-end of U.S. credit.  See our post on the corporate bond market. Euro … Continue reading →

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Why India Is A Better Long-Term Bet Than China

Nice graphic showing how China’s inverted pop pyramid contrasts with India’s as median age in China surges to 47, while in India still only 36. China’s need is for deeper social security and productivity, India’s is for jobs. https://t.co/I1GGiuDmyJ — … Continue reading →

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