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Category Archives: Uncategorized
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – March 13
Global markets ended the week in classic late-cycle fashion: equities tried to look composed, while everything underneath them looked increasingly less so. The dominant macro transmission channel was energy. The Iran conflict and the closing of the Strait of Hormuz … Continue reading
The Oil Shock vs. Irrational Resilience
As we approach the Ides of March, the S&P 500 is performing a high-wire act that should give even the most seasoned bull a case of vertigo. Currently sitting at 6,672, the index is a mere 4.7% below its recent … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – March 6
The global market narrative has been utterly hijacked by the seventh day of the U.S./Iran conflict. While Washington demands “unconditional surrender,” the energy markets are issuing a surrender of their own, to pure, unadulterated upward momentum. Crude oil prices surged … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – Feb 27
This commentary will necessarily be speculative. Trading this week will likely be dominated by the breakout of war with Iran. However, markets do not trade in the short-term on logic; they trade on positioning, leverage, and emotion, often in that … Continue reading
Waiting On, err Dissing…………..GEICO
My auto insurance premium just leapt 64% at renewal. No accidents. No tickets. No DUI. No claims. Not even a dirty look at a stop sign. Apparently, the new underwriting model is: “Because we can.” Nothing says economic “victory” like … Continue reading
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Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – Feb 13
Sorry, no commentary this week. Stay tuned!
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Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – Feb 6
The week ending February 6 was defined by rising internal stress beneath still-resilient headline equity levels, with sharp dispersion across asset classes and regions. U.S. equities experienced notable volatility, with the S&P 500 briefly touching record highs early in the … Continue reading
Two Interesting Charts: Tariffs & Job Openings
Wells Fargo published a pair of charts this week that appear to tell very different stories. On the one hand, higher tariffs are being promoted as a catalyst for job creation. On the other, job openings continue to slide meaningfully. … Continue reading
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Global Macro Monitor 