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Tag Archives: Investing
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 24
Key Data U.S. equity markets rallied, with the S&P 500 gaining 1.74% and setting a record high. AI investments of $500 billion are expected to fuel U.S. growth. The Bank of Japan raised interest rates to 0.5%, the highest since … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Economy, Federal Reserve, finance, Inflation, Interest rates, Investing, Stock Market
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Presidential Stock Markets
The performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) under various U.S. presidents has long been a subject of debate, providing political fodder but offering limited actionable insights. The key drivers of market returns are often the initial conditions—such as … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 17
Weekly Economic and Market Summary Global markets rallied amid softer U.S. inflation data, with the S&P 500 rising +2.94% for the week, driven by gains in financials and industrials. European markets outperformed, led by France’s CAC 40 (+3.75%), Germany’s DAX … Continue reading
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Tagged Economy, Federal Reserve, finance, Inflation, Interest rates, Investing
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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 10
Weekly Economic and Market Summary Macroeconomics Strong Jobs Report: December added 256,000 jobs, surpassing forecasts by 100,000, and unemployment dropped to 4.1%. This robust labor market supports the Fed’s decision to slow rate cuts. Fed Policy: Federal Reserve minutes reflect … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Economy, finance, Inflation, Interest rates, Investing
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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – December 13
Key Developments: Monetary Divergence: ECB and SNB reduced rates to address economic slowdowns, while Fed signals a hawkish cut with a 97% probability of easing next week. Sticky Inflation: U.S. core CPI rose 3.3% YoY in November, highlighting persistent inflationary … Continue reading
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Tagged Economy, finance, Inflation, Interest rates, Investing
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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – December 6
Global markets experienced a mixed yet eventful week, marked by a rally in U.S. growth stocks, diverging sector performance, and critical macroeconomic data releases. The NASDAQ surged over 3% for its third consecutive weekly gain, joining the S&P 500 in … Continue reading
Where’s the Inflation?
Key Facts: The CPI-U rose 0.2% in October, with a 12-month increase of 2.6%. Shelter index rose 0.4%, contributing significantly to the overall CPI increase. Food prices grew by 0.2% in October, with varying increases between food at home (0.1%) … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – November 1
Bearish Bonds Jobs Report Impact: October’s weaker jobs report initially pushed yields down, hinting at possible accelerated Fed rate cuts, before a quick rebound. Political Influence: Anticipated election outcomes, including potential stimulus under a new administration, could reintroduce inflationary pressures, … Continue reading
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Tagged Economy, Federal Reserve, finance, Inflation, Investing
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Bond Market Fundamentals: Rising Risks
QT Scale: G10 central banks reduced balance sheets from $28 trillion to $21.5 trillion since March 2022. Interconnected Risks: Simultaneous QT across central banks could spread funding stress across markets. Bond Market Volatility: Shifting bond ownership to price-sensitive investors could … Continue reading
Inflation Falling But Core Sticky
Key Facts: CPI rose by 0.2% in August 2024. Yearly inflation rate decreased to 2.5%, the lowest since February 2021. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.3% in August. Shelter costs increased by 0.5%, driving most inflation. Food … Continue reading
Global Macro Monitor 