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Yearly Archives: 2017
The “Firming” Global Recovery
The IMF upgraded their view of the global economy, while slightly downgrading U.S. economic growth due to lack of fiscal progress. The Global Economy Maintains Momentum The cyclical recovery continues. Growth outturns in the first quarter of 2017 were higher … Continue reading
Week In Review
Global Stocks Flat week for the S&P500 after making new all-time earlier in the week although the Dow continues to make record highs. Nasdaq also new record early in week then succumbed to profit taking on Thursday and Friday. India, … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized, Week in Review
Tagged bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Stocks, Weekly performance
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Global Risk Monitor – July 28
Click on table to enlarge and for better resolution
Posted in Daily Risk Monitor, Uncategorized
Tagged bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Global Stock Markets, Performance, Stocks
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COTD: “Easy Financial Conditions”
You heard it here first, folks, in our July 16th post, Market Liquidity Conditions Still Loose As A Goose. Here is Bloomberg on the easy money, Easier financial conditions affect the Fed in three ways. First, officials will associate them with … Continue reading
Posted in Monetary Policy, Uncategorized
Tagged Easy Financial Conditions, Monetary Policy
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Current Accounts of EM “Fragile Five” Improving
The improvement in emerging-market fundamentals can most easily be seen in the current-account deficits among Morgan Stanley’s so-called “fragile five,” a group of nations the bank identified in 2013 as being particularly vulnerable to higher global rates. The gap reached … Continue reading
Posted in Economics, Uncategorized
Tagged Brazil, Current Account Balances, Emerging Markets, Fragile Five, India, Indonesia, South Africa, Turkey
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QOTD: AI And China
China recognizes that AI will be critical to its future “comprehensive national power” – The Diplomat
Dollar Index Spanked After FOMC – Nears Key Support
The Dollar Index was spanked today after what the market percieved as a dovish FOMC statement. Kind of odd as early inflation indicators starting to pick up. We were expecting a short-term rally as everyone is long the euro/dollar pair, … Continue reading
This Rhyme Is Different: Base Money > M1
“History doesn’t repeat itself but it often rhymes.” – Mark Twain (maybe) We have been speaking a lot about how the liquidity in the market today is different than in the past. The chart below reflects this better than … Continue reading
Caterpillar Beats For All The Right Reasons
Caterpillar, a bellwether for the global economy, beat on both the top and bottom line for all the right reasons (increase in sales and revenues) with their earnings release this morning. The stock is up over 5 percent at … Continue reading
Global Macro Monitor 