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Monthly Archives: February 2020
Stonks Finally Mugged By A Dose Of Reality
After watching this incredible bubble go up every-freaking-day and the speculative fever feed on itself, the market finally got its reality check today. Tied For Second Largest Point Drop (rounding up) Today’s flop marks only the third time in history … Continue reading
How Broken Are The Markets? This Broken…
Completely FUBAR… https://twitter.com/vixcontango/status/1231956336331587584?s=21
Posted in Uncategorized
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Why We’re Big Fans Of Johnny “Cash”
Of course, if Larry M.’s Lehman-like drawdown scenario is realized, haven flows and shorts will pile into long-notes and bonds as a proxy short but we have no interest in trading fixed-income securities with a 100 bps negative real yield. … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, Equities, Uncategorized
Tagged bonds, Coronavirus, Equities, Will Rodgers
7 Comments
COTD: Bank Lending Divergence
COTD = Chart of the Day Big divergence in bank lending to consumers and businesses. Consumer lending y/y growth fairly steady but hard to tell what is causing the steep fall-off in the growth of lending to the corporate sector. … Continue reading
Posted in Banking, Uncategorized
Tagged Bank lending, Commercial lending, Consumer lending
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Coronavirus Pandemic: The Next Two Weeks Are Critical
Chris Martenson. Ph.D. from Duke in Toxicology is very good on this topic and one of the first out with a correct analysis of the coronavirus. We posted his first video when there were only a few thousand cases reported. … Continue reading
Now, Which POTUS Inherited A Mess?
Wow! President Trump likes to repeat the fictitious notion he inherited an economic mess but his hair is on fire over Obama’s factually based tweet this morning. Eleven years ago today, near the bottom of the worst recession in generations, … Continue reading
Two Charts Keeping Us On The Beach
I’ve seen fire and I’ve seen rain. I’ve seen manias the public thought would never end. Until they do. This ain’t our first rodeo. We have seen these types of asset bubbles many times during our career, especially when you … Continue reading
Posted in Equities, Housing, Inflation/Deflation, Uncategorized
Tagged Bubbles, Manias, Recession, Small Cap relative performance
10 Comments
COTD: Coronavirus Risk To Manufacturing
The holiday is over, but few people are back in offices and factories…the effects of covid-19 will be like those of SARS in 2003: a sharp shock to Chinese growth, followed by a strong rebound. But SARS may not be a … Continue reading
Why The Millennials Feel The Bern
The Global Macro Monitor has been writing about the Clash of Generations for years, and way before the headlines and data that are now starting to show up in the MSM. See here. The fight taking place between the moderates … Continue reading
