Category Archives: Budget Deficit

Takin’ It to the Greek Streets

Posted on September 21, 2011 by macromon

The future of Euro is going to be determined by the Greek street in the next few weeks and how they react to the new austerity measures.   G-Pap has his work cut out convincing the population the pain is … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Budget Deficit, Euro, Fiscal Policy, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Is the U.S. Becoming Japan?

Posted on September 12, 2011 by macromon

As Treasury bond yields tumble to record lows we’re hearing lots of talk the U.S. is following the economic trajectory of Japan.  Not so fast!   Take a look at the following chart. After 990 days trading days from peaking, … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Budget Deficit, Equities, Fiscal Policy, Global Stock Performance, Sovereign Debt | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Europe’s Destabilizing Feedback Loop

Posted on August 4, 2011 by macromon

Europe’s sovereign debt crisis and concerns over a global double dip sparked a dash for cash and hammered just about everything, including crude oil, corn, emerging equities, developed equities, and even orange juice.  O.J.?  Down 4 percent today? Did the … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Budget Deficit, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Nowhere to Hide…

Posted on July 16, 2011 by macromon

Larry Summers understands the risks the game Congress is playing with on lifting the debt ceiling.   Bloomberg writes, Summers said a potential default makes him worry about “runs on banks, runs on money market funds,” exchanges facing “the prospect … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Budget Deficit, Fiscal Policy, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | 2 Comments

Bank Exposure to Domestic Sovereigns

Posted on July 11, 2011 by macromon

Here at the Global Macro Monitor we perceive a rapidly changing financial landscape.  The concept of risk-free is being redefined as we write and analysts are now forced to look at the systemic risk caused by a banking system’s exposure … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Budget Deficit, Charts, Euro, Fiscal Policy, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments

When Apple Leads….

Posted on July 7, 2011 by macromon

Apple is up almost 15 percent off  the June 20th low of 310 and leading the overall market higher.  This is the stock’s best move since last September.  We’ve posted several pieces on Apple’s market leadership (click here).  With no … Continue reading →

Posted in Apple, Black Swan Watch, BRICs, Budget Deficit, Charts, Economics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | 2 Comments

Why Europe Can’t Afford a Greek Haircut

Posted on June 29, 2011 by macromon

If a picture is worth a thousand words, the following chart from the IMF encapsulates all the analysis one needs to understand why Mr. Trichet and the rest of the Eurozone bureaucracy are so adamant about not letting Greece restructure … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Budget Deficit, Charts, Euro, PIIGS, Policy, Politics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | 4 Comments

Debt and Leverage in Advanced Economies

Posted on June 20, 2011 by macromon

The following is one of the most comprehensive snapshots of relative debt and leverage in the major advanced economies.   The source of the table is the IMF’s Global Financial Stability Report (page 11). We find interesting that U.S. debt held … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, Budget Deficit, Charts, Economics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , , | 3 Comments

The Great QE2 Flush Out

Posted on June 10, 2011 by macromon

We’ve updated our Treasury flow charts with new data from today’s release of the Federal Reserve’s Flow of Funds Accounts.   The quarterly data are seasonally adjusted and annualized.    They reveal quite an interesting picture. In Q1 2011, the Fed’s … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, Budget Deficit, Charts, Dollar, Equities, Monetary Policy, Sovereign Debt | Tagged , , , , | 4 Comments

Chart of the Day: California’s Volatile Revenue Base

Posted on June 6, 2011 by macromon

The following chart is from the California Legislative Analyst’s Office (LAO) and is indicative of the state government’s unstable revenue base.   The government receives a higher proportion of its revenue from personal income taxes than most states, which is also … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, Budget Deficit, Chart of the Day, Fiscal Policy, Muni Bonds, Muni Market, State and Local Government | Tagged , | 6 Comments