Category Archives: Currency

Monitoring the Armageddon Trade – Day 5

Posted on July 30, 2011 by macromon

Only one of the Four Horsemen of the our Armageddon Trade is misbehaving, that is, not confirming by moving in the wrong direction.  Stocks, which, some have touted as the new safe haven, have been hit the most and dollar … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Currency, Dollar, Equities, Gold | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Monitoring the Armageddon Trade – Day 4

Posted on July 28, 2011 by macromon

Looks like the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse spent the day watering their horses.  Not much happening in our Armageddon Trade today.  Gold, which is trading poorly,  bounced off the lows and stocks reversed a decent rally to close lower.   … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Currency, Dollar, Equities, Gold | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

Monitoring the Armageddon Trade – Day 2

Posted on July 26, 2011 by macromon

Still no panic, but lower.  The dollar took the biggest beating and looks ready to take out its May lows.  Only T-Bonds of the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse moved contrary to what we call the Armageddon trade, where gold … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Credit, Currency, Dollar, Equities, Fiscal Policy, Gold | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

The Armageddon Trade

Posted on July 24, 2011 by macromon

Here are the four markets we do not want to see large concurrent sustained moves in the direction as illustrated. (click here if picture is not observable)

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Currency, Dollar, Equities, Gold, Politics, Sovereign Debt | Tagged , , , , | 8 Comments

Is Gold Money?

Posted on July 13, 2011 by macromon

During today’s Congressional testimony Fed Chairman, Ben Bernanke, was confronted by Rep. Ron Paul with the question, “Is gold money”?  (see video below)  The Chairman answered, “no” and went on to say the reason why central banks hold gold is … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Crude Oil, Currency, Dollar, Gold, Monetary Policy, Video | Tagged , , , | 15 Comments

Global Trend Indicators

Posted on May 29, 2011 by macromon

(click here if table is not observable)

Posted in Commodities, Currency, Global Stock Performance | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

Did Trichet Hear the PIGs Squealing?

Posted on May 5, 2011 by macromon

Wow, what a swan dive!  The Euro fell a rare five handles and 3 percent against the dollar in just twenty-four hours as ECB President,  Jean-Claude Trichet, seemed to back away from his previous hawkish rhetoric at the Bank’s press … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Charts, Commodities, Crude Oil, Currency, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Chart of the Day: Dr. Copper Falls Through the Ice

Posted on May 5, 2011 by macromon

Dr. Copper broke through its support at 4.10 and is below 4.00 for the first time since early December.   Lots of flakes in this chart as head and shoulder patterns are ubiquitous.   Copper is a very crowded trade and some … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, China, Commodities, Credit, Currency, Dollar, Monetary Policy | Tagged , , | 3 Comments

Charts of the Day: Asian Credit Bubble?

Posted on May 3, 2011 by macromon

Great chart from Deustche Bank of Asian home prices indexed to Jan’07.   It’s becoming increasingly clear, at least to us, that a big part of Asia is in massive credit/asset bubble and as monetary tightening plays out their day of … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, China, Commodities, Credit, Crude Oil, Currency | Tagged , | Leave a comment

10 Questions for Chairman Bernanke

Posted on April 26, 2011 by macromon

If we were attending the Fed’s historic press conference tomorrow,  here are the ten questions we would ask Chairman Bernanke: 1)  Do you think the new monetary policy tool of the Federal Reserve of paying interest on reserves (IOR) is … Continue reading →

Posted in Budget Deficit, Commodities, Credit, Crude Oil, Currency, Food Prices, Gold, Monetary Policy, Policy | Tagged , , , | 3 Comments