Category Archives: Equities

Black Monday, 1987: Inside The U.S. Treasury

By Liam McPherson The following exchange took place between President Reagan and reporters after the market close on Black Monday, October 19, 1987.  Leaving to visit the First Lady in the hospital, President Reagan spoke just after the market lost … Continue reading

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QOTD: Only Buy Stocks That Go Up

QOTD = Quote of the Day Will Rodgers was way ahead of his time.    His quote defines the group think of today’s marginal buyer with the qualification that stocks always go up.  Well, at least, most of the time … Continue reading

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Art Cashin Is Pure Gold

When Art Cashin speaks, we listen.  He is the best in the business and such a great man.  If you are going to listen to any of the market pundits,  Art is your guy.   So great to see him back. … Continue reading

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Time For Some Context, Again

Money Fueled Bubble Speculative manias gather speed through expansion of money and credit. Most expansions of money and credit do not lead to a mania; there are many more economic expansions than there are manias. But every mania has been … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Economics, Equities | Tagged , , | 10 Comments

Not Your Big Sister’s Economy & Stock Market Anymore

Stunning transformation of the world’s largest stocks over the past decade-and-a-half. When normalized to global GDP it also illustrates the economic and market power of the largest stocks. The data in the below table show that the the top eight … Continue reading

Posted in Apple, Equities, Uncategorized | Tagged | 1 Comment

Investing In The Economy Of The Future

I skate to where the puck is going to be, not where it has been. – Wayne Gretzky   By Carol K. I have argued for many years, and contrary to popular opinion that self-directed investors (SDI), who are not … Continue reading

Posted in AI, Equities, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 7 Comments

Context and Stock Valuations

The S&P500 Index ETF (SPY) closed up 0.79 percent today while the equal-weighted  S&P500 Index ETF (RSP) was down 0.53 percent.  Based on the closing prices of both ETFs from Yahoo Finance,  SPY is now up 1.80 percent year-to-date versus … Continue reading

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The COVID Economy In Suspended Animation

Summary The U.S. economy is not real and in a current state of “suspended animation” The COVID rescue package has introduced significant distortions into the economy The “Corona Capitalists,” some very well capitalized and liquid corporations, have accounted for a … Continue reading

Posted in Economics, Equities, Geopolitical, Politics, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 20 Comments

Riding The Gravy Train: S&P500 Key Levels

The U.S. stock market is very expensive and narrow, led by large-cap tech with S&P500 range-bound between 3233 and 2965, a 9 percent range, closing today at the upper 1/3rd of that range.   Not a fan, and a dangerous market, … Continue reading

Posted in Coach C, Equities, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Statista’s New Chart Looks Familiar

It makes us a little nervous when we see our ideas, opinions, and charts starting to be adopted as conventional wisdom. A New Bull Market…In Bullshit Though the cheerleaders are still preaching a new bull market, the only new bull … Continue reading

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