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Category Archives: Policy
ECB About to PIIG Out on Bonds. Gold to the Moon.
Just a few short weeks after German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble criticized U.S. monetary policy with his “with all due respect, U.S. policy is clueless” statement, the FT reports the ECB is contemplating expanding its sovereign bond purchase program. That … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Currency, Euro, Fiscal Policy, Gold, PIIGS, Policy, Politics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk
Tagged ECB, European Debt Crisis, Eurozone, Sovereign Debt Crisis, Sovereign Risk
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Where is Gold Headed?
In 1996, we visited the Bulgarian central bank at a time when the country was experiencing economic turmoil and a loss of confidence that the government could rollover its maturing debt. After a long discussion on the domestic economy and … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Commodities, Currency, Euro, Fiscal Policy, Gold, PIIGS, Policy, Politics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk
Tagged ECB, Euro, Gold, Greece, Ireland, Italy, PIIGS, Spain
1 Comment
“Will the next fiscal crisis start in Washington?”
Sheila Bair, chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., writes in today’s Washington Post, Even as work continues to repair our financial infrastructure and get the economy moving again, we need urgent action to forestall the next financial crisis. I … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Fiscal Policy, Policy, Politics, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk
Tagged FDIC, Fiscal Crisis, Sheila Bair, Sovereign Debt Crisis
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Is Ireland’s Rescue Package a Veiled Bailout of the ECB?
Not that it needs a one, but some in Ireland are starting to ask the question. The European Central Bank exposure in Ireland is above €130 BN, a quarter of its book, and now wants its money back. In the … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Fiscal Policy, PIIGS, Policy, Politics, Sovereign Risk
Tagged ECB, Europe, Ireland, Sovereign Debt Crisis
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Irish Sentiment
This cartoon of Prime Minister Brian Cowen is on the cover of today’s Irish Times. Pretty much sums up how the Irish feel. How long can the Euro last? … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Policy, Sovereign Risk
Tagged bailout, Brian Cowen, IMF, Ireland
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Don’t Fight the Bank of Japan!
The Nikkei 225 has been flying, while the global markets are down to flat, since the November 5th Bank of Japan announcement that it would be purchasing equity ETFs as part of its QE program (click here for our post). … Continue reading
China Rising: THE MARKET for Exports
We thought these charts of export markets from Barclays Capital to be very illustrious of the dynamic changes taking place in global trade. China is becoming a larger export market than the U.S. for many countries, including Australia, Brazil, Korea, … Continue reading
Posted in BRICs, China, Equities, Geopolitical, Policy, Politics
Tagged Australia, Bovespa, Brazil, China, Korea, S&P500, Shanghai, Stock Market
4 Comments
Jeremy Grantham CNBC Interview
Run don’t walk to CNBC’s extended interview with Jeremy Grantham, chief investment strategist at Grantham Mayo Van Otterloo (GMO). Click here for the interview. He begins commenting on the Fed’s attempt to stimulate growth through the “wealth effect,” noting that … Continue reading
Posted in BRICs, China, Commodities, Crude Oil, Currency, Equities, Gold, Monetary Policy, Policy, Whales
Tagged Equites, Jeremy Grantham, Wealth Effect
1 Comment
Dilma Rousseff – “The last time there was a series of competitive devaluations…it ended in world war two.”
These are harsh words from Brazil’s president-elect Dilma Rouseff, who was speaking at a joint press conference with outgoing president, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva last Wednesday. She joins a chorus of world leaders condemning U.S. monetary policy and sets … Continue reading
Posted in BRICs, China, Commodities, Currency, Gold, Monetary Policy, Policy, Politics
Tagged Brazil, China, Dima Rouseff, G20
1 Comment
Inside Job
Posted in Equities, Fiscal Policy, Monetary Policy, News, Policy, Politics
Tagged Inside Job
1 Comment
