Tag Archives: Economy

Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – July 11

Markets wrapped up the week with a paradoxical sense of calm, even as trade tensions re-escalated on multiple fronts. At the center of the uncertainty is President Donald Trump’s hardline tariff rhetoric, including threats of sweeping new levies on the … Continue reading

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Gagging Dr. Copper and Distorting the Economy

…AI data centers are likely to require enormous amounts of copper to meet their capacity needs… – Barron’s, July 9, 2022 Back in September 2022, Global Macro Monitor made the call: “If you are not buying copper hand-over-fist here, at … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – June 27

Last week’s market tone reflected a convergence of stabilizing macro forces: easing geopolitical tensions, falling oil prices, and growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. But beneath these surface-level catalysts lies a far more powerful narrative: the AI revolution. AI … Continue reading

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Straight to $120: The TACO Trade Returns

In 30 minutes, crude oil futures will flicker to life, and this isn’t just another session. With tensions between Israel and Iran hitting kinetic levels, traders are watching the Strait of Hormuz like it’s the Nasdaq in March 2020. One … Continue reading

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Global Risk Montior: Week in Review – June 13

This week presented a paradox that seasoned portfolio and hedge fund managers will recognize immediately: risk is rising, but price action remains oddly composed. With geopolitical tensions escalating in the Middle East, oil surging, and inflation data surprising to the … Continue reading

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Yachts and Tent Cities: How Globalization Helped Fuel Wealth and Backlash

The juxtaposition is stark. As Bloomberg reports Wall Street is pouring billions into marinas for ever-larger yachts, the BBC reminds us that U.S. homelessness reached a record high in 2024. Winners and Losers of Free Trade This contrast, in part, … Continue reading

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From Opium to Chips: The Long War Behind Trade Wars

This one’s a must-view, folks. Not just because it’s smart and informative (it is), but because if you want to understand where this global trade war is headed, you need to understand where we’ve been.  We’ve been here before, same … Continue reading

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Global Macro Monitor: Weekly Update – June 6

The S&P 500 closed at 6000.4 on Friday, marking a significant psychological level with a 1.5% weekly gain. The strong performance was primarily driven by a short-covering bid, which reflects some big players are way offside, in our opinion.  The … Continue reading

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RIP GOAT of Macro

Stanley Fischer’s impact on our journey as economists is both profound and personal. From the moment we encountered his co-authored textbook Macroeconomics—a work that distilled the complexity of the dismal science into practical, accessible insight—Fischer became a silent guide along … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Weekly Update – May 30

Global markets ended the month of May on relatively firm footing, with equity indexes rebounding modestly, inflation easing slightly, and consumer confidence stabilizing. However, beneath this surface calm lies a deeper undercurrent of concern—a growing alarm over sovereign debt and … Continue reading

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