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Tag Archives: finance
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – December 13
Key Developments: Monetary Divergence: ECB and SNB reduced rates to address economic slowdowns, while Fed signals a hawkish cut with a 97% probability of easing next week. Sticky Inflation: U.S. core CPI rose 3.3% YoY in November, highlighting persistent inflationary … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Economy, finance, Inflation, Interest rates, Investing
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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – December 6
Global markets experienced a mixed yet eventful week, marked by a rally in U.S. growth stocks, diverging sector performance, and critical macroeconomic data releases. The NASDAQ surged over 3% for its third consecutive weekly gain, joining the S&P 500 in … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – Nov 29
Cracks in Global Economies Amid Easy Financial Conditions Despite the extremely easy financial conditions in the United States as measured by the Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI), significant economic stress is emerging across key markets, exposing vulnerabilities that … Continue reading
La France sous pression
Key Facts: Market Impact: French 10-year bond yield spreads hit their highest since 2012, reflecting investor concerns about political instability. Budget Controversy: The €60bn budget proposal includes significant austerity measures, risking parliamentary backlash. Political Stakes: Far-right leader Marine Le Pen’s … Continue reading
Where’s the Inflation?
Key Facts: The CPI-U rose 0.2% in October, with a 12-month increase of 2.6%. Shelter index rose 0.4%, contributing significantly to the overall CPI increase. Food prices grew by 0.2% in October, with varying increases between food at home (0.1%) … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – November 1
Bearish Bonds Jobs Report Impact: October’s weaker jobs report initially pushed yields down, hinting at possible accelerated Fed rate cuts, before a quick rebound. Political Influence: Anticipated election outcomes, including potential stimulus under a new administration, could reintroduce inflationary pressures, … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Economy, Federal Reserve, finance, Inflation, Investing
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Bond Market Fundamentals: Rising Risks
QT Scale: G10 central banks reduced balance sheets from $28 trillion to $21.5 trillion since March 2022. Interconnected Risks: Simultaneous QT across central banks could spread funding stress across markets. Bond Market Volatility: Shifting bond ownership to price-sensitive investors could … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – October 18
Weekly SummaryBig rally in Eurozone bond markets as the European Central Bank (ECB) reduced its key interest rate to 3.25%, marking its third 25 basis point cut this year. The decision reflects the ECB’s focus on lowering inflation risks and … Continue reading
Inflation Falling But Core Sticky
Key Facts: CPI rose by 0.2% in August 2024. Yearly inflation rate decreased to 2.5%, the lowest since February 2021. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.3% in August. Shelter costs increased by 0.5%, driving most inflation. Food … Continue reading
Mr. Softee Gets Lost in the Cloud
Microsoft (MSFT) reported its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings, surpassing Wall Street’s expectations on EPS and revenue but falling short of cloud revenue forecasts, notably in its Intelligent Cloud segment. Despite this, overall revenue increased by 15% yearly, with Intelligent Cloud revenue … Continue reading
Global Macro Monitor 