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Tag Archives: Investing
The Big Mac Index: My Global Currency Reality Check
As an international economist earlier in my career, I long appreciated The Economist‘s Big Mac Index, a deceptively simple yet revealing tool for assessing purchasing power parity (PPP) and currency under or overvaluation. In the Economist’s latest iteration, the Index … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – June 27
Last week’s market tone reflected a convergence of stabilizing macro forces: easing geopolitical tensions, falling oil prices, and growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. But beneath these surface-level catalysts lies a far more powerful narrative: the AI revolution. AI … Continue reading
Global Risk Montior: Week in Review – June 13
This week presented a paradox that seasoned portfolio and hedge fund managers will recognize immediately: risk is rising, but price action remains oddly composed. With geopolitical tensions escalating in the Middle East, oil surging, and inflation data surprising to the … Continue reading
Global Macro Monitor: Weekly Update – June 6
The S&P 500 closed at 6000.4 on Friday, marking a significant psychological level with a 1.5% weekly gain. The strong performance was primarily driven by a short-covering bid, which reflects some big players are way offside, in our opinion. The … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Weekly Update – May 30
Global markets ended the month of May on relatively firm footing, with equity indexes rebounding modestly, inflation easing slightly, and consumer confidence stabilizing. However, beneath this surface calm lies a deeper undercurrent of concern—a growing alarm over sovereign debt and … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Weekly Update – May 2
This week, global equities extended their recovery, buoyed by rising optimism over potential U.S.–China trade negotiations. Though no formal talks or trade agreements have been signed and most tariffs remain in place—including broad-based global levies—markets responded positively to U.S. administration … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Weekly Update – April 25
Global markets staged an impressive rebound this week, fueled by growing optimism that trade tensions between the United States and China may soon ease and that some bilateral trade deals are imminent. Investors eagerly latched onto comments from U.S. Treasury … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Weekly Update – April 18
Happy Easter, folks! The Trump administration’s tariff strategy continues to function less as a deliberate trade policy and more as a volatile, reactionary experiment. Markets are grappling with a growing realization: there is no unified objective anchoring current U.S. trade … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Weekly Update – April 11
The United States’ current tariff regime reveals not a strategic plan but an erratic response to market volatility, suggesting a governing philosophy resembling reactive day trading more closely than structured economic policymaking. As the week’s developments show, the absence of … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor 2.0: Week In Review – April 4
Our earlier GRM post mistakenly included data tables from the week of March 28th. Here are the up-to-date April 4th tables. The U.S. Administration’s tariff policy represents a critical policy error that has upended financial markets and raised the specter … Continue reading
Global Macro Monitor 