Tag Archives: Stock Market

Buffett Building Big Buffer: Time to Buckle Up?

Warren Buffett’s recent moves in the stock market signal a strong defensive posture, one that suggests a serious market correction may be on the horizon. Over the past several years, Berkshire Hathaway has been a net seller of equities, shedding … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – February 21

Key Facts: The S&P 500 (-1.7%), Dow Jones (-2.51%), and Nasdaq (-2.51%) fell this week amid tariff concerns and weak economic data. The Russell 2000 (-3.71%) and Dow Transports (-3.45%) underperformed, reflecting slowing economic activity. Nvidia (+18%) gained on AI … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – February 7

7 Key Takeaways U.S. job growth slowed, with weaker-than-expected payrolls but a declining unemployment rate. Stock markets fluctuated due to tariff uncertainties, with Trump postponing tariffs on Mexico and Canada but maintaining those on China. Strong corporate earnings supported equities, … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 31

The financial markets are poised for heightened volatility following President Donald Trump’s decision to impose broad tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China. The move, which includes a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada and a 10% tariff on … Continue reading

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Trump 2.0 Inherits A Very Expensive Stock Market

The S&P 500 CAPE (Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings) ratio, a metric developed by economist Robert Shiller, measures stock market valuation by averaging earnings over the past ten years and adjusting for inflation. It provides a long-term perspective on whether the market … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 24

Key Data U.S. equity markets rallied, with the S&P 500 gaining 1.74% and setting a record high. AI investments of $500 billion are expected to fuel U.S. growth. The Bank of Japan raised interest rates to 0.5%, the highest since … Continue reading

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Presidential Stock Markets

The performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) under various U.S. presidents has long been a subject of debate, providing political fodder but offering limited actionable insights. The key drivers of market returns are often the initial conditions—such as … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – December 6

Global markets experienced a mixed yet eventful week, marked by a rally in U.S. growth stocks, diverging sector performance, and critical macroeconomic data releases. The NASDAQ surged over 3% for its third consecutive weekly gain, joining the S&P 500 in … Continue reading

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Global PMI: Input costs rise to a 16-month high

Take heed, folks; input costs, as measured in the latest release of the Global Manufacturing PMI, are rising at the fastest clip in 16 months. Manufacturing input costs were a leading indicator of the last wave of inflation.   Measured overall, … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – May 24

According to the Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI), national financial conditions have eased significantly. Financial conditions are looser than when the Fed began its tightening cycle in March 2022, with the NFCI at levels last seen in November … Continue reading

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