Monthly Archives: July 2011

Apple Valuation and Sensitivity Analysis

Posted on July 20, 2011 by macromon

(click here if charts and table are not observable)

Posted in Apple | Tagged , , | 2 Comments

Apple’s Big Beat: What’s Next for the Stock?

Posted on July 19, 2011 by macromon

We’re still reeling from Apple’s stunning and historic earnings release after the market close.   The company beat expectations by over 34 percent, posting $7.79 per share and up an unbelievable 121.9 percent y/y and 21.7 percent q/q.  Revenues grew 81.5 … Continue reading →

Posted in Apple | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Nonlinear Thinking: Smart Phone Cataract Detecting Device

Posted on July 19, 2011 by macromon

This is what we’re talkin’ about! We stumbled upon this while reading a Blooomberg piece this morning, Health Tools for Apple’s IPhone May Get Same Scrutiny as Stents.  This is the exact technology that will lift the American and global … Continue reading →

Posted in Apple, Nonlinear Thinking | Tagged , , , | 3 Comments

Sovereign Debt and Geriatric Deadbeats

Posted on July 18, 2011 by macromon

In the spirit of our earlier post, The Clash of Generations, we point you to an interesting piece, Geiatric Deadbeats, written by Ali Alichi of the International Monetary Fund (IMF).   He argues the age of a country’s population is inversely … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Demographics, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk, State and Local Government | Tagged , , , , , | 4 Comments

Macro Notes from the IBM Conference Call

Posted on July 18, 2011 by macromon

The following are direct quotes from today’s IBM earnings conference call, which was fairly upbeat.  Note, however,  more than 50% (7 of the12 percent) of the company’s revenue growth was due to currency effects. Key Metrics In the second quarter, … Continue reading →

Posted in Earnings | Tagged , , | 6 Comments

The Clash of Generations

Posted on July 18, 2011 by macromon

Thomas Friedman is “connecting the dots” in his New York Times column piece over the weekend, The Clash of Generations.    The Global Macro Monitor posted a similar piece, Connecting the Dots: The Coming War Between Generations,  back in March. During … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Demographics, Egypt, Fiscal Policy, Geopolitical | Tagged , , | 8 Comments

Week in Review: It’s the Politics, Stupid!

Posted on July 17, 2011 by macromon

The direction of markets this week will be determined by the politics of debt, both  in Brussels and Washington    We are expecting some decent volatility as the markets begin to price the negative scenarios.  Given the unpredictability of politics, … Continue reading →

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Nowhere to Hide…

Posted on July 16, 2011 by macromon

Larry Summers understands the risks the game Congress is playing with on lifting the debt ceiling.   Bloomberg writes, Summers said a potential default makes him worry about “runs on banks, runs on money market funds,” exchanges facing “the prospect … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Budget Deficit, Fiscal Policy, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | 2 Comments

Global Trend Indicators

Posted on July 16, 2011 by macromon

(click here if tables are not observable)

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The Weekend Read: Death by Debt

Posted on July 15, 2011 by macromon

“WE HAVE a system of government in which everybody has to give a little bit.” So said Barack Obama at the start of this week. But parse that sentence. Does the president mean that America already has a system in … Continue reading →

Posted in The Weekend Read | Tagged , , , , , , | 2 Comments