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Yearly Archives: 2018
Global Risk Monitor – April 6
Posted in Daily Risk Monitor, Uncategorized
Tagged bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Global equity markets, Performance, Stocks
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Off The Desk…
Expect a big move, it never fails! See you next week.
Key Levels You Need To Know
The S&P500 sliced through its 200-day moving average like a “hot knife through budda’” today. It’s the first close below the 200-day in almost two years. Significant. The next stop is the February 9th intraday low at 2532.69, the Maginot … Continue reading
Posted in Equities, Uncategorized
Tagged 200-day moving average, Equities, JFK-Trump analog, Reovery, S&P500
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Cleveland Fed Dishes On Yield Curve Signal
Check out the latest from the Cleveland Fed president, Loretta Mester: Mester advised that there is “no evidence” for thinking that a flatter curve signals a weaker economy at this time, Reuters reported. She added that “structural factors,” such as bond-buying by central … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, Fed, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized
Tagged Fed, Monetary Policy, Operation Twist, QE, Yield Curve
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The Looming Donnybrook Between Cyclical & Structural
This next quarter is going to be a major battle between the cyclical bulls and structural bears. Cyclical Bulls The bulls have the strength of current earnings, which may, or may not be priced (probably the later as the market is … Continue reading
Trump’s Tax Cut Will Widen Trade Deficit
Last year’s Republican tax plan was hailed as a victory for US President Donald Trump, but it carries a hidden cost: a ballooning US trade deficit. As happened after Ronald Reagan’s cuts in the 1980s, Trump’s cut is almost certain … Continue reading
Posted in China, Economics, Uncategorized
Tagged China, Tax Cuts, Trade Deficit, U.S.
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Another S&P500 Streak Snapped
The first quarter ends with another snapped streak for the S&P500. Going into Q1, the S&P500 had delivered positive returns for 16 consecutive quarters or four straight years. The chart illustrates how rare the streak has been over the past half … Continue reading
In Theory: The Rise and Fall of GDP – Project Syndicate
We fully expect a “revolution” in the measurement of economic data as “big data” takes an increasing role in society and dominates metrics and measurements. It won’t be long before we have precision real-time measurements from everything to real economic … Continue reading
Q1 in Review
Q1: Lake Placid To The Mavericks The markets closed out the quarter trying to recover from one of the biggest volatility shocks in history, which began in early February. The question for Q2 is: Was the v-shock a one-off or a … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, Commodities, Currency, Equities, Uncategorized, Week in Review
Tagged bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Global equity markets, Q1 In Review, Stocks, Week in Review
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Global Macro Monitor 