Author Archives: macromon

Is Mr. Market Headed for a Jackie Moon Moment?

Lots of complacency out there. Just remember, folks, if you’re going to panic, panic before everyone else does.

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S&P 500 Key Levels – March 24

“The S&P 500 Index appears to be forming a bearish flag pattern, consolidating within a defined 5,600–5,700 range—a reflection of investor indecision amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty.  The upper boundary near 5,700 has emerged as a short-term resistance level, with selling … Continue reading

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The Real Economic Cost of the Trade War | Bloomberg

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Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – March 21

Key Observations: U.S. stock indexes broke multi-week losing streaks but remain in correction territory. Value sectors like Utilities and Energy outperformed as investors rotated out of large-cap tech amid rising tariff uncertainty and mixed economic data. The Federal Reserve held … Continue reading

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COTD: Two Roads Diverged…

COTD – Chart of the Day China and the U.S. are experiencing contrasting inflation trends, shaping distinct economic policy responses. In February 2025, China’s consumer price index (CPI) turned negative for the first time in 13 months, signaling deflation due … Continue reading

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S&P 500 Key Levels – March 18

The bounce lacked sufficient momentum to reach the 200-day moving average but managed to hit 5700 before pulling back.  We suspect the index will chop between 5500 and 5700 for the next few days or possibly a couple of weeks … Continue reading

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PeBo Knows Macro

Nice distillation of the macro driving markets by (Pe)ter (Bo)ockvar.   The dude gets it. “There are like megatrends that I think that are reversing to the point where the playbook that worked so well over the last couple of years, … Continue reading

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S&P 500 Key Levels – March 16

The bounce we were anticipating came Friday, with futures leading the way. After Thursday’s close, buyers stepped into the futures market and commenced to bid the index up. The 200-day is now the upside target (+1.85%), which could come quickly … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – March 14

Key Insights U.S. stock markets saw their fourth consecutive weekly decline, driven by recession fears and trade policy uncertainty. The Fed will keep rates unchanged, but inflation expectations have risen, raising concerns about stagflation. Eurozone faces economic headwinds, with ECB … Continue reading

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Opening Day Beckons

This montage of baseball movies is a must-view, folks. Prepare yourself for goosebumps. Opening day is next Tuesday with the Dodgers taking on the Cubbies in Tokyo.

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