Category Archives: Equities

The Oscar Trade: Long Berkshire Hathaway On Anne’s Oscar

Let’s face it folks global markets have turned into the Truman Show. In other words, much, if not, everything is pretty much fake.   An artificial housing recovery based  on repressed interest rates and the effective nationalism of the mortgage market … Continue reading

Posted in Equities | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Correction Time? Now or Never…

The S&P500 had its worst daily decline for the year.  The VIX spiked over 19 percent, its biggest 1-day increase in 2013.  The dollar index closed at its highest level since November 16th,  which was the day the S&P500 bottomed … Continue reading

Posted in Commodities, Dollar, Equities, Gold | Tagged , , , , , | 4 Comments

Beggar Thy Neighbor’s Stock Market

Interesting chart which we suspected and all knew that, thus far, the 2013 macro equity trade x/ U.S. has been to be long those markets where the home currency is weakening against the dollar.  The red regression line illustrates this … Continue reading

Posted in Equities, Monetary Policy | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments

Chart of the Day: Mutual Fund Holdings

Informative chart in today’s WSJ on household mutual fund holdings. (click here if chart is not observable)

Posted in Equities | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Daily Interest Rate Monitor – January 23

(click here if table is not observable)

Posted in Equities, Euro, Interest Rates | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

BIDzilla!

This is what happens when traders try and game a correction of overbought conditions and there are no real sellers.   BIDzilla as in Godzilla! Here’s what we said after the first trading day of the new year: The two big … Continue reading

Posted in Equities | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Global Risk Indicator Species: Hang Seng and Aussie/$

Messing around with the charts while watching the game and came across this. The Hang Seng and Aussie/$ are important — sometimes leading and sometimes confirming – risk indicators that should be monitored. We have written about both.  See here … Continue reading

Posted in Equities, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

Who Owns the U.S. Equity Market?

Here’s an update and upgrade to our mid-2011 post. Lots of noise and imperfections in the Fed’s Flow of Funds data but sure beats the alternative – nothing.  The biggest caveat, in our opinion, is the data include holdings of … Continue reading

Posted in Equities | Tagged , , , , | 5 Comments

Nice Start…To the Moon, Alice!

Nice bubblicious start to the New Year!   The third best, in fact,  for the S&P500 since 1991. The two big macro swans – the Eurozone crisis and fear of China’s hard landing — which caused much of the volatility … Continue reading

Posted in Equities, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

Repressed Fear

This nice chart comes to us from the  Leuthold Group via Bloomberg.   It illustrates that market fear or risk aversion is at its lowest levels since the 1980’s!  Yikes! The Leuthold Group constructs their Risk Aversion Index (RAI) with a … Continue reading

Posted in Equities, Fiscal Cliff Monitor, Fiscal Policy, Monetary Policy | Tagged , | 1 Comment