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Tag Archives: China
COTD: China’s Financial System
. China’s financial system consists of six major entities: The People’s Bank of China, governments, commercial banks, financial institutions, enterprises, and individuals. The People’s Bank of China is a national bank, invested by the government. Though the People’s Bank of … Continue reading
Emerging Market Dollar Bonds: An Option Based Analysis
In my prior life I used to trade emerging market (EM) bonds and came up with the following analytical framework using options analysis to understand and teach the basic fundamental principles of how to value EM hard currency bonds. The … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, Uncategorized
Tagged Brazil, China, Emerging Market Bonds, International Reserves, Mexico, Option Based Analysis, Russia, Venezuela
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QOTD: Ambiguous China Policy
It used to be said that Ronald Reagan’s “Red China” policy was driven by Nancy: “don’t serve it on a green table cloth.” President Trump’s policy? Yet to be determined. …U.S.-China relations remain in the Schrodinger’s cat-like state they … Continue reading
Is This Why Gold and Bonds Sold Off?
Truly a mug’s game to try and retrofit fundamentals to short-term market moves, but ain’t gonna stop us! We’ve noted the comovement of the U.S. 10-year T-Note with gold over the past few months, driven, we believe, mainly by geopolitical … Continue reading
What Really Keeps Us Up At Night – Do The Math
Lots of these being drawn up by the new U.S. administration. The one that scares us most is this: Mattis: US will defend Japanese islands claimed by China – CNN And today we hear this: China sails warships near islands … Continue reading
Almost All World’s Currencies Undervalued
We’ve put together a couple of tables showing the undervaluation of the world’s currencies based on their 2016 purchasing power parity against the U.S. dollar. The Purchasing-power-parity (PPP) between two countries is the rate at which the currency of one … Continue reading
Posted in Currency, Dollar, Uncategorized
Tagged Brazil, China, dollar, Purchasing Power Parity, Russia
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Who Could Lose the Most in a U.S.-China Trade War?
Jan.22 — Now that Donald Trump is in the White House, the world’s biggest companies are trying to gauge the likelihood of a U.S. trade war with China. If the tension escalates, there could be losers on both sides. Bloomberg’s … Continue reading
“Good Trump” Catapults Dow To 20K As “Bad Trump” Lurks
Party on, Garth! The Dow crossed 20k as the market perceives accelerated future profit growth from the “Good Trump” policies – deregulation, etc. – and traders surf the Keystone pipeline to higher prices. The momentum will continue until it … Continue reading
Why Money Keeps Flowing Out of China – Bloomberg
Published on Jan 18, 2017 The outflow of Chinese capital hasn’t abated in the last few years, as a weak Yuan and slew of other hindrances perpetuate losses. QuickTake Q&A explains how these pressures continue to take a toll on … Continue reading
USA vs CHINA – BBC 2016 (Must View)
Things are starting to heat up in the Taiwan Straight and only to get hotter under the Trump Administration. This BBC video is great background. China’s foreign ministry hit back in a statement advising Trump, a billionaire property tycoon who … Continue reading
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