Tag Archives: China

Nothing New In President Xi’s Speech

Posted on April 9, 2018 by macromon

President Xi said nothing in his address to the Boao Forum that hasn’t been said before. Therefore markets must be lathered up (S&P futures up as high 40 points) over Xi positioning himself as “the grown up in the room.” … Continue reading →

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Trump’s Tax Cut Will Widen Trade Deficit

Posted on April 1, 2018 by macromon

Last year’s Republican tax plan was hailed as a victory for US President Donald Trump, but it carries a hidden cost: a ballooning US trade deficit. As happened after Ronald Reagan’s cuts in the 1980s, Trump’s cut is almost certain … Continue reading →

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Unmoored & Rudderless Stock Market

Posted on March 28, 2018 by macromon

Didn’t today’s market feel like a rudderless sailboat ripped from its mooring and blown about by random gusts of wind (algos)?   We count the Dow crossed the unchanged line at least thirty times today. The generals have have been taken … Continue reading →

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“Many Chinese Would Like To Teach [Trump] A Lesson”

Posted on March 27, 2018 by macromon

Yikes!  Nasty rhetoric from a newspaper under the auspices of the People’s Daily. Me thinks Trump & Co.  are going to be played by Xi & Co. like a Chinese fiddle. China already perceives the Trump Administration as a Paper Tiger. … Continue reading →

Posted in China, Geopolitical, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 16 Comments

China calls on WTO members – EuroNews

Posted on March 26, 2018 by macromon

Beijing urges them to oppose U.S. tariffs targeting China’s alleged theft of intellectual property.… READ MORE : http://www.euronews.com/2018/03/26/ch…

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China’s Other Nuclear Option

Posted on March 25, 2018 by macromon

Sorry to be such a downer, folks. We have to stress test the macro scenarios versus current market conditions by looking at worst case events, then calculating expected values based on the most likely probabilities. Especially after such a huge … Continue reading →

Posted in Apple, China, Equities, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | 18 Comments

Mr. Market Weakens U.S. Negotiating Position With China

Posted on March 22, 2018 by macromon

Last week we were thinking about pulling together a post using game theory to predict the outcome of the Trump administration’s tariff announcement.   JP Morgan beat us to it, however. More interesting is the JPM quant’s assertion that Trump will … Continue reading →

Posted in China, Equities, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 21 Comments

China’s Staggering Demand For Commodities

Posted on March 7, 2018 by macromon

Great chart from the Visual Capitalist brought to of us from our favorite Polish crude and rude trader,  the Skrypecker. Now you can see why the markets work themselves into a deflationary tizzy when China hits a speed bump.  

Posted in China, Commodities, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 2 Comments

Big Brother Alive And Well And Living In China (Must View)

Posted on January 28, 2018 by macromon

This clip from the BBC is incredible and very disconcerting. We suspect this technology, and the use thereof, is not just limited to China but ubiquitous throughout Western countries.   Double yikes! China has been building what it calls “the … Continue reading →

Posted in Algos, Automation, China, Technology, Uncategorized, Video | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Dangerous Gambit Out Of Davos

Posted on January 24, 2018 by macromon

We woke to a comment out of Davos that surprised both us and the market. The U.S. Treasury Secretary, Steven Mnuchin, broke from tradition and welcomed a weaker dollar. “Obviously a weaker dollar is good for us as it relates … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, Dollar, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , | 14 Comments