Tag Archives: Economy

Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – February 21

Key Facts: The S&P 500 (-1.7%), Dow Jones (-2.51%), and Nasdaq (-2.51%) fell this week amid tariff concerns and weak economic data. The Russell 2000 (-3.71%) and Dow Transports (-3.45%) underperformed, reflecting slowing economic activity. Nvidia (+18%) gained on AI … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – February 7

7 Key Takeaways U.S. job growth slowed, with weaker-than-expected payrolls but a declining unemployment rate. Stock markets fluctuated due to tariff uncertainties, with Trump postponing tariffs on Mexico and Canada but maintaining those on China. Strong corporate earnings supported equities, … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 31

The financial markets are poised for heightened volatility following President Donald Trump’s decision to impose broad tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China. The move, which includes a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada and a 10% tariff on … Continue reading

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Trump 2.0 Inherits A Very Expensive Stock Market

The S&P 500 CAPE (Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings) ratio, a metric developed by economist Robert Shiller, measures stock market valuation by averaging earnings over the past ten years and adjusting for inflation. It provides a long-term perspective on whether the market … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 24

Key Data U.S. equity markets rallied, with the S&P 500 gaining 1.74% and setting a record high. AI investments of $500 billion are expected to fuel U.S. growth. The Bank of Japan raised interest rates to 0.5%, the highest since … Continue reading

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Presidential Stock Markets

The performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) under various U.S. presidents has long been a subject of debate, providing political fodder but offering limited actionable insights. The key drivers of market returns are often the initial conditions—such as … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 17

Weekly Economic and Market Summary Global markets rallied amid softer U.S. inflation data, with the S&P 500 rising +2.94% for the week, driven by gains in financials and industrials. European markets outperformed, led by France’s CAC 40 (+3.75%), Germany’s DAX … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 10

Weekly Economic and Market Summary Macroeconomics Strong Jobs Report: December added 256,000 jobs, surpassing forecasts by 100,000, and unemployment dropped to 4.1%. This robust labor market supports the Fed’s decision to slow rate cuts. Fed Policy: Federal Reserve minutes reflect … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – December 13

Key Developments: Monetary Divergence: ECB and SNB reduced rates to address economic slowdowns, while Fed signals a hawkish cut with a 97% probability of easing next week. Sticky Inflation: U.S. core CPI rose 3.3% YoY in November, highlighting persistent inflationary … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – December 6

Global markets experienced a mixed yet eventful week, marked by a rally in U.S. growth stocks, diverging sector performance, and critical macroeconomic data releases. The NASDAQ surged over 3% for its third consecutive weekly gain, joining the S&P 500 in … Continue reading

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