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Tag Archives: Economy
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – February 7
7 Key Takeaways U.S. job growth slowed, with weaker-than-expected payrolls but a declining unemployment rate. Stock markets fluctuated due to tariff uncertainties, with Trump postponing tariffs on Mexico and Canada but maintaining those on China. Strong corporate earnings supported equities, … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 31
The financial markets are poised for heightened volatility following President Donald Trump’s decision to impose broad tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China. The move, which includes a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada and a 10% tariff on … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged China, Economy, Federal Reserve, finance, Inflation, Interest rates, Investing, Politics, Stock Market, Tariffs
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Trump 2.0 Inherits A Very Expensive Stock Market
The S&P 500 CAPE (Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings) ratio, a metric developed by economist Robert Shiller, measures stock market valuation by averaging earnings over the past ten years and adjusting for inflation. It provides a long-term perspective on whether the market … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 24
Key Data U.S. equity markets rallied, with the S&P 500 gaining 1.74% and setting a record high. AI investments of $500 billion are expected to fuel U.S. growth. The Bank of Japan raised interest rates to 0.5%, the highest since … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Economy, Federal Reserve, finance, Inflation, Interest rates, Investing, Stock Market
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Presidential Stock Markets
The performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) under various U.S. presidents has long been a subject of debate, providing political fodder but offering limited actionable insights. The key drivers of market returns are often the initial conditions—such as … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 17
Weekly Economic and Market Summary Global markets rallied amid softer U.S. inflation data, with the S&P 500 rising +2.94% for the week, driven by gains in financials and industrials. European markets outperformed, led by France’s CAC 40 (+3.75%), Germany’s DAX … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Economy, Federal Reserve, finance, Inflation, Interest rates, Investing
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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 10
Weekly Economic and Market Summary Macroeconomics Strong Jobs Report: December added 256,000 jobs, surpassing forecasts by 100,000, and unemployment dropped to 4.1%. This robust labor market supports the Fed’s decision to slow rate cuts. Fed Policy: Federal Reserve minutes reflect … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Economy, finance, Inflation, Interest rates, Investing
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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – December 13
Key Developments: Monetary Divergence: ECB and SNB reduced rates to address economic slowdowns, while Fed signals a hawkish cut with a 97% probability of easing next week. Sticky Inflation: U.S. core CPI rose 3.3% YoY in November, highlighting persistent inflationary … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Economy, finance, Inflation, Interest rates, Investing
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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – December 6
Global markets experienced a mixed yet eventful week, marked by a rally in U.S. growth stocks, diverging sector performance, and critical macroeconomic data releases. The NASDAQ surged over 3% for its third consecutive weekly gain, joining the S&P 500 in … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – Nov 29
Cracks in Global Economies Amid Easy Financial Conditions Despite the extremely easy financial conditions in the United States as measured by the Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI), significant economic stress is emerging across key markets, exposing vulnerabilities that … Continue reading
Global Macro Monitor 