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Tag Archives: Economy
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – March 14
Key Insights U.S. stock markets saw their fourth consecutive weekly decline, driven by recession fears and trade policy uncertainty. The Fed will keep rates unchanged, but inflation expectations have risen, raising concerns about stagflation. Eurozone faces economic headwinds, with ECB … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – March 7
Key Facts and Observations: Major U.S. indices declined significantly due to tariff uncertainties. The euro currency spiked after Germany announced a massive fiscal spending package. Germany’s new budgetary strategy caused historic bond yield increases. ECB lowered rates amid slowing inflation … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – February 28
The past week saw heightened market volatility, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq declining due to fading AI momentum and a growth scare, while the Dow Jones outperformed. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model slashed Q1 GDP growth projections to -1.5%, … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – February 21
Key Facts: The S&P 500 (-1.7%), Dow Jones (-2.51%), and Nasdaq (-2.51%) fell this week amid tariff concerns and weak economic data. The Russell 2000 (-3.71%) and Dow Transports (-3.45%) underperformed, reflecting slowing economic activity. Nvidia (+18%) gained on AI … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – February 7
7 Key Takeaways U.S. job growth slowed, with weaker-than-expected payrolls but a declining unemployment rate. Stock markets fluctuated due to tariff uncertainties, with Trump postponing tariffs on Mexico and Canada but maintaining those on China. Strong corporate earnings supported equities, … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 31
The financial markets are poised for heightened volatility following President Donald Trump’s decision to impose broad tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China. The move, which includes a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada and a 10% tariff on … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged China, Economy, Federal Reserve, finance, Inflation, Interest rates, Investing, Politics, Stock Market, Tariffs
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Trump 2.0 Inherits A Very Expensive Stock Market
The S&P 500 CAPE (Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings) ratio, a metric developed by economist Robert Shiller, measures stock market valuation by averaging earnings over the past ten years and adjusting for inflation. It provides a long-term perspective on whether the market … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 24
Key Data U.S. equity markets rallied, with the S&P 500 gaining 1.74% and setting a record high. AI investments of $500 billion are expected to fuel U.S. growth. The Bank of Japan raised interest rates to 0.5%, the highest since … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Economy, Federal Reserve, finance, Inflation, Interest rates, Investing, Stock Market
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Presidential Stock Markets
The performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) under various U.S. presidents has long been a subject of debate, providing political fodder but offering limited actionable insights. The key drivers of market returns are often the initial conditions—such as … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 17
Weekly Economic and Market Summary Global markets rallied amid softer U.S. inflation data, with the S&P 500 rising +2.94% for the week, driven by gains in financials and industrials. European markets outperformed, led by France’s CAC 40 (+3.75%), Germany’s DAX … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Economy, Federal Reserve, finance, Inflation, Interest rates, Investing
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Global Macro Monitor 