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Tag Archives: Inflation
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – Jan 30
Global markets ended the week with rising internal stress beneath still-resilient headline equity levels, setting up a fragile start to the new week. While U.S. equities held modest January gains, risk signals deteriorated meaningfully late in the week, culminating in … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – Dec 12
Global markets closed the week with a clear message: policy easing is supporting risk appetite, but leadership is rotating, and stresses are emerging beneath the surface. The Federal Reserve’s December rate cut reinforced expectations that the tightening cycle is firmly … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – Nov 21
Global markets navigated a risk-off week marked by renewed doubts over the durability of the AI-driven equity rally, rising volatility, and shifting expectations for a December U.S. rate cut. Strong corporate earnings failed to offset investor concerns about inflated tech … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – Nov 14
Global economic activity showed mixed momentum, with markets navigating a choppy week shaped by the end of a prolonged 43-day U.S. government shutdown and increasingly hawkish Federal Reserve communications. U.S. equities initially rallied on optimism but ultimately ended broadly flat … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – October 31
Global markets ended the week mixed as a U.S.–China trade truce and a widely anticipated Federal Reserve rate cut drove both relief and uncertainty. While U.S. equities held near record highs, global sentiment was tempered by uneven central bank actions … Continue reading
On Becoming Argentina
Today’s Drudge Report headline, with George Washington staring from a dollar bill under the headline “NATL DEBT $37 TRILLION” and accusations of falsified inflation data, encapsulates the growing perception that America’s fiscal and political trajectory is veering toward Banana Republic … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – June 27
Last week’s market tone reflected a convergence of stabilizing macro forces: easing geopolitical tensions, falling oil prices, and growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. But beneath these surface-level catalysts lies a far more powerful narrative: the AI revolution. AI … Continue reading
Global Macro Monitor: Weekly Update – June 6
The S&P 500 closed at 6000.4 on Friday, marking a significant psychological level with a 1.5% weekly gain. The strong performance was primarily driven by a short-covering bid, which reflects some big players are way offside, in our opinion. The … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Weekly Update – May 30
Global markets ended the month of May on relatively firm footing, with equity indexes rebounding modestly, inflation easing slightly, and consumer confidence stabilizing. However, beneath this surface calm lies a deeper undercurrent of concern—a growing alarm over sovereign debt and … Continue reading
Global Risk Monitor: Weekly Update – May 2
This week, global equities extended their recovery, buoyed by rising optimism over potential U.S.–China trade negotiations. Though no formal talks or trade agreements have been signed and most tariffs remain in place—including broad-based global levies—markets responded positively to U.S. administration … Continue reading
Global Macro Monitor 