Tag Archives: Interest rates

Global Risk Monitor 2.0: Week In Review – April 4

Our earlier GRM post mistakenly included data tables from the week of March 28th.  Here are the up-to-date April 4th tables.  The U.S. Administration’s tariff policy represents a critical policy error that has upended financial markets and raised the specter … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 31

The financial markets are poised for heightened volatility following President Donald Trump’s decision to impose broad tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China. The move, which includes a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada and a 10% tariff on … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 24

Key Data U.S. equity markets rallied, with the S&P 500 gaining 1.74% and setting a record high. AI investments of $500 billion are expected to fuel U.S. growth. The Bank of Japan raised interest rates to 0.5%, the highest since … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 17

Weekly Economic and Market Summary Global markets rallied amid softer U.S. inflation data, with the S&P 500 rising +2.94% for the week, driven by gains in financials and industrials. European markets outperformed, led by France’s CAC 40 (+3.75%), Germany’s DAX … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 10

Weekly Economic and Market Summary Macroeconomics Strong Jobs Report: December added 256,000 jobs, surpassing forecasts by 100,000, and unemployment dropped to 4.1%. This robust labor market supports the Fed’s decision to slow rate cuts. Fed Policy: Federal Reserve minutes reflect … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – December 13

Key Developments: Monetary Divergence: ECB and SNB reduced rates to address economic slowdowns, while Fed signals a hawkish cut with a 97% probability of easing next week. Sticky Inflation: U.S. core CPI rose 3.3% YoY in November, highlighting persistent inflationary … Continue reading

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Bond Market Fundamentals: Rising Risks

QT Scale: G10 central banks reduced balance sheets from $28 trillion to $21.5 trillion since March 2022. Interconnected Risks: Simultaneous QT across central banks could spread funding stress across markets. Bond Market Volatility: Shifting bond ownership to price-sensitive investors could … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – October 18

Weekly SummaryBig rally in Eurozone bond markets as the European Central Bank (ECB) reduced its key interest rate to 3.25%, marking its third 25 basis point cut this year. The decision reflects the ECB’s focus on lowering inflation risks and … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – July 26

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Global Macro Watch – Octoberfest

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