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In economics, things take longer to happen than you think they will, and then they happen faster than you thought they could.
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Monthly Archives: October 2011
Global Trend Indicators
(click here if tables are not observable)
Posted in Global Trend Indicators
Tagged bonds, Bovespa, Commodities, Copper, Crude Oil, Gold, Hang seng, Stocks
1 Comment
Stock Market Melt Up: November 1998 or December 2008?
Stunning! The S&P500 at its high today was up 20.3 percent from the October 4th intraday low of 1074.77. We’re talking the S&P500, not the Brazilian BOVESPA or Hang Seng Index! This kind of initial move in the S&P500 in … Continue reading
Posted in Charts, Equities, Global Stock Performance
Tagged Melt-up, S&P500, Stock Market
12 Comments
Greece Private Bondholders to Reduce Claims by 50%
The FT reports, European leaders reached a deal with Greek debtholders on Thursday morning that would see private investors take a 50 per cent cut in the face value of their bonds, a deep haircut that officials believe will reduce … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Economics, Equities, Euro
Tagged EU Summit deal, Greece Haircut.
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Protests as Shanghai Property Values Plunge
(click here if video is not observable)
Posted in China, Real Estate
Tagged China, China Real Estate Market, Hard Landing, Property Bubble
1 Comment
The Creeping and Coming Eurozone Credit Crunch
Here’s a very informative chart via Morgan Stanley showing the deterioration in the Eurozone’s key credit indicators. Banks will no doubt sell assets, at least in part, as a way to meet their required capital targets. During the 1997 Asian … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Credit, Economics, Euro, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk
Tagged Bank Assets, Eurozone Credit Crunch, Money Supply Growth
1 Comment
Euros Playing w/ Fire
(click here if video is not observable)
Posted in Black Swan Watch, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk
Tagged EU Summit, Euro, European Sovereign Debt Crisis, Greece
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Gold Breaks Out – Print Away!
Gold is up big today and trading like the monetary printing presses are ready to kick into overdrive. We believe the recent Fed speak about QE3, possible BofJ intervention to weaken the yen, and growing expectations that tomorrow’s announcement by … Continue reading
The Pain in Spain – 3.302% 6-month Bills
The NY Times reports, The Treasury said in Madrid that it had sold bills valued at €3.48 billion, or $4.9 billion, of short-term paper — substantially all of the €3.5 billion it had been targeting. It sold three-month securities priced … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk
Tagged European Debt Crisis, Spain, T-Bill Auction
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Ray Dalio’s Must Read FT Opinion Piece
After last week’s excellent interview with Charlie Rose, Ray Dalio of Bridgewater, the world’s largest hedge fund, follows up with a great piece in today’s Financial Times, “Risk on the rise as political leaders give in to mob rule.” He … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Economics, Politics, Whales
Tagged Bridgewater Associates, Financial Times, Ray Dalio
1 Comment
Flash Eurozone PMI Lowest Since July 2009
(click here if charts are not observable)
Posted in Economics, Euro
Tagged Eurozone PMI, France, Germany, Growth, Output Growth, Periphery Europe
4 Comments