Monthly Archives: October 2018

Global Risk Monitor – October 12

Posted on October 14, 2018 by macromon
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Italians are all talking about the bond spread – FT

Posted on October 12, 2018 by macromon

Lo spread’ – the yield gap between Italian and German 10-year bonds – is the hot topic of conversation in Rome after the populist coalition government promised a spending splurge ► Subscribe to FT.com here: http://bit.ly/2GakujT

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Traders Get Caught…..

Posted on October 12, 2018 by macromon

What is else in new? Slice through the 200-day like a hot knife through butter yesterday only to close above it today.  Still would not touch equities here for my than a flip,  and looking to get shorty at higher … Continue reading →

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Price Action In The S&P & Its 200-day MA

Posted on October 11, 2018 by macromon

That was easy. Only second close below the 200-day (2765ish) for the S&P since January 2016.   The 200-day has been steel support for the S&P500, and a trampoline for reversal rallies over the past few years.   Not today. Is this … Continue reading →

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Browbeating the Fed 2.0

Posted on October 11, 2018 by macromon

As the market melt and President Trump ramps up his rhetoric on Fed rate hikes, we thought you’d be interested in our July post. By the way,  the geopolitics in the Taiwan strait are growing much hotter since we wrote.  … Continue reading →

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S&P500 Flirting With Key Support

Posted on October 11, 2018 by macromon

The S&P500 moved through its 200-day moving average this morning and has bounced almost 20 points back above the low for a day back through the 200-day .   Since early 2016, the 200-day has acted as steel support for stocks, … Continue reading →

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Tail Event Day: -3.29% S&P500 and +1.7 bps 10-year Yield

Posted on October 10, 2018 by macromon

Something is rotten in the U.S. bond market, which is irritating the stock market, to say, the very least. Today’s 3.29 percent flop in the S&P500, coupled with a 1.7 bps rise in the 10-year yield, is very rare, and … Continue reading →

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QOTD: Slouching Toward A Banana Republic

Posted on October 10, 2018 by macromon

Could it be the markets are instead revolting against President Trump’s fiscal profligacy, and beginning to price in a potential debt crisis/major interest rate spike?   Just askin’. “I think the Fed is making a mistake. They are so tight. I … Continue reading →

Posted in Equities, Fed, Interest Rates, Monetary Policy, Uncategorized | Tagged , | 3 Comments

Biblical Breakout In 10-year Yields

Posted on October 10, 2018 by macromon

Breaking out of an almost 40-year downward channel.  Don’t think higher rates are about to enter the “promised land” with public debt over 100 percent of GDP The number forty can also represent a generation of man. Because of their … Continue reading →

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Lavender Wave Still Cometh

Posted on October 9, 2018 by macromon

Massive Lavender Wave Coming In November We believe there will be a massive “lavender wave,” in the November midterms.  Lavender is the color combination of pink and blue. …In elections, women are also more likely to vote in higher numbers and … Continue reading →

Posted in Crude Oil, Politics, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , | 3 Comments