Category Archives: Equities

That Was One Heckuva Streak!

Wow! Back-to-back more than 1/2 percent down days for the S&P500 ending a streak going way back to January 2016. Feels like we just landed on Mars or in the Bronx  after Joe DiMaggio’s 56-game hitting streak  was snapped, no? … Continue reading

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Watch This Space…

Because the eurozone is where the big bond bubble lives. Though the euro periphery is now in Convergence 2.0 mode on hopes of eMac’s vision of a more integrated ‘zone, the German 10-year is at a critical level, and yields … Continue reading

Posted in Bonds, Equities, German Bund, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 11 Comments

Top 10 Most Expensive and Cheapest Stock Markets

  … look at the table ranking the top and bottom 10 countries by PE10 valuation. The bottom features a couple of usual suspects (Russia and Greece), although in the case of Greece you might argue that earnings are now … Continue reading

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Rosie The Riveter Tweets A Red Flag

Note the date of James Baker’s comment. January 24th, 2018: Steven Mnuchin to Davos: "A weaker dollar is good for us as it relates to trade and opportunities.” October 17th, 1987: James Baker to the Germans: "Either inflate your mark, … Continue reading

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Short Sellers In A Bull Market

Ouch! I remember days like this guy is having. Shorting a market that is melting up and having the bulls gore you where the sun don’t shine is no fun! .   Shorting stocks willy-nilly is a surefire beeline to … Continue reading

Posted in Equities, Global Stock Performance, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 9 Comments

Making The World Great Again

Maybe President Trump should not read this but last year was all about “Making The World Great Again.” Financial Markets As the data and graphs illustrate below, the U.S. stock market was in the bottom quintile of performance in dollar … Continue reading

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The Year In Review

An incredible year in the markets. Here’s a quick snapshot: Fixed-income – The high yielders significantly outperformed; – Greece 10-year yield down 300 bps in 2017; – China 10-year moved 85 bps higher to around 4 percent; – The U.S. … Continue reading

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Interest Rates Starting To Bite

We have long held that interest rates have been so low (especially real rates) that it will take some time to reach a level for them to really matter and impact markets. The 2-year yield crossing over the S&P500 divie … Continue reading

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Supply (lack of ) Driven Bull Market

I had an interesting conversation with an economist friend this morning about inflation and excess capacity. He sees no evidence of excess capacity in the U.S. economy, including the service sector, where he cannot find, say, a plumber for hire … Continue reading

Posted in Charts, Equities, Inflation/Deflation, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

Ten Year Expected Returns

Ten Year Expected Returns. Nominal returns expected for the next decade, based on valuations model, see best opportunities in the depressed $EEM stock space with an 8% return.$SPY stocks are priced at 2.6% for the next 10 years while $EFA … Continue reading

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