Monthly Archives: January 2020

How Is That Austrian Century Bond Doing?

Posted on January 15, 2020 by macromon

I guess it depends on your entry price.   The Austrian 2117 bond chart now looks like a broken stock. We did notice during summer feeding frenzy and August highs, our bond trading buddies in Europe were pounding the table the … Continue reading →

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Stocks Get Vertical & Vertigo

Posted on January 15, 2020 by macromon

This is some chart.  Even if you assume a structural shift in valuations began when the Fed started backstopping markets after the 1987 crash, that puts the average valuation of the Wilshire Market Cap to GDP at 92.58 percent.   That’s … Continue reading →

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“Phase 1” Of Potemkin Trade Deal Signed, Sealed, And Yet To Deliver

Posted on January 15, 2020 by macromon

We have been busy collecting bets on the outcome of the U.S.-China Trade Deal. We never believed for one moment that China would cave on any of the big issues, such as restructuring its economy and any deal would be … Continue reading →

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The New Quant Strategy

Posted on January 13, 2020 by macromon

Probably the most important thing I’ve ever done. @SinclairEuan @Barton_options @bennpeifert @LJKawa @iv_technicals @SqueezeMetrics @vixologist @AnodyneCode @dynamicvol @VolatilityWiz @pat_hennessy @ReformedTrader @VolCurve pic.twitter.com/sQwkfRgmDi — Jay Soloff (@jsoloff) January 13, 2020

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U.S. Treasury Borrowing & QE Forever

Posted on January 13, 2020 by macromon

The U.S. Treasury recently released the December monthly statement, which put us to work crunching the data.  Note the Treasury is on an October-September fiscal year.  We are using calendar years in our analysis. Federal Borrowing From The Public The … Continue reading →

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Inflation, Minimum Wages, Suicide, & Karl Marx

Posted on January 9, 2020 by macromon

Is the rise of the global populism the result of a mismeasurement of inflation? “Look around the world, I see small revolutions everywhere, in France with the gilets jaunes, Brexit in the UK, the election of Trump. I see a … Continue reading →

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COOLEST TECH at CES 2020

Posted on January 9, 2020 by macromon
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QOTD: War And Truth

Posted on January 7, 2020 by macromon

QOTD – Quote of the Day In war, truth is the first casualty. – Aeschylus

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U.S. Troop Levels In Iraq

Posted on January 7, 2020 by macromon

Great graphic from Stratfor, who, BTW, is running a great subscription deal.  You’re gonna need some good geopolitical analysis in 2020.  That we can be certain.  See here. It seems like Mr. Market is the only one who didn’t see … Continue reading →

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U.S. Trade Deficit Shrinking And It’s All China

Posted on January 7, 2020 by macromon

  JANUARY 7, 2020 — The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that the goods and services deficit was $43.1 billion in November, down $3.9 billion from $46.9 billion in October, revised November exports … Continue reading →

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