Category Archives: Bonds

Did Trichet Hear the PIGs Squealing?

Posted on May 5, 2011 by macromon

Wow, what a swan dive!  The Euro fell a rare five handles and 3 percent against the dollar in just twenty-four hours as ECB President,  Jean-Claude Trichet, seemed to back away from his previous hawkish rhetoric at the Bank’s press … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Charts, Commodities, Crude Oil, Currency, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

First Three Days in May

Posted on May 4, 2011 by macromon

The equity market has made a little bit history in the first three days in May.  Only four other times in the last fifty years has the S&p500 opened May with three consecutive down days. Bespoke did some great work … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, China, Equities | Tagged , , , | 3 Comments

Charts of the Day: Asian Credit Bubble?

Posted on May 3, 2011 by macromon

Great chart from Deustche Bank of Asian home prices indexed to Jan’07.   It’s becoming increasingly clear, at least to us, that a big part of Asia is in massive credit/asset bubble and as monetary tightening plays out their day of … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, China, Commodities, Credit, Crude Oil, Currency | Tagged , | Leave a comment

A Credible & Comprehensive Plan for Europe’s Debt Crisis

Posted on April 25, 2011 by macromon

The following is the Executive Summary of a longer article that offers up a credible and comprehensive plan for the European Debt Crisis, which deals with the periphery debt overhang  and weak balance sheets of Europe’s commercial banks.  It has … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Currency, Euro, Geopolitical, PIIGS, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

Components of the 10-Year Treasury Yield

Posted on April 13, 2011 by macromon

An interesting chart from the IMF showing the components of the 10-year Treasury yield.   Note how oxymoronic credit risk (in pink)  crept into the “risk-free” 10-year rate starting around the collapse of Bear Sterns.   The IMF opines on what has … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, Budget Deficit, Fiscal Policy, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | 10 Comments

Chart of the Day: Fed Ownership of the Yield Curve

Posted on April 11, 2011 by macromon

We’ve updated our chart illustrating the Fed ownership of the U.S. yield curve.   We’ve also included the percentage of total maturities the Fed owns in each year from the April 2011 data and December 2010 data.   Most of POMO buying … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, Budget Deficit, Chart of the Day, Commodities, Credit, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

While Washington (and the Fed) Fiddle…..

Posted on April 8, 2011 by macromon

Sorry about the hiatus.  We’ve been working on a special project that could be big and will share when and if possible. Thought we’d start by re-posting our gas price sensitivity analysis to show the cost of the U.S. government’s … Continue reading →

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Budget Deficit, Commodities, Muni Bonds | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

Is This Why Bill Gross Dumped Treasuries?

Posted on March 17, 2011 by macromon

A couple of revealing charts from the Fed’s Flow of Funds data.   Both show net flows into Treasuries by creditor type and the Federal Government’s borrowing during each quarter.   Note, the quarterly data is annualized. The first chart illustrates how … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, Budget Deficit, Charts, Fiscal Policy, Monetary Policy | Tagged , , | 14 Comments

Japan’s International Investment Position

Posted on March 14, 2011 by macromon

The following table is a detailed analysis of Japan’s international investment position from the Ministry of Finance.   Using the latest data is from 2009 and the year-end exchange rate the country held $5.96 trillion of international assets with a net … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, Equities, Japan | Tagged , , | 3 Comments

Week in Review

Posted on February 21, 2011 by macromon

As we suspected, emerging equities bounced nicely last week with Brazil and Hong Kong leading the major indices, both up over 3 percent.   Developed equity markets continued to move higher with France now up close to 10 percent for the … Continue reading →

Posted in Apple, Bonds, Charts, Crude Oil, Currency, Equities, Week in Review | Tagged , , , , , , | 3 Comments