Tag Archives: Federal Reserve

Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 31

The financial markets are poised for heightened volatility following President Donald Trump’s decision to impose broad tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China. The move, which includes a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada and a 10% tariff on … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 24

Key Data U.S. equity markets rallied, with the S&P 500 gaining 1.74% and setting a record high. AI investments of $500 billion are expected to fuel U.S. growth. The Bank of Japan raised interest rates to 0.5%, the highest since … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 17

Weekly Economic and Market Summary Global markets rallied amid softer U.S. inflation data, with the S&P 500 rising +2.94% for the week, driven by gains in financials and industrials. European markets outperformed, led by France’s CAC 40 (+3.75%), Germany’s DAX … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – November 1

Bearish Bonds Jobs Report Impact: October’s weaker jobs report initially pushed yields down, hinting at possible accelerated Fed rate cuts, before a quick rebound. Political Influence: Anticipated election outcomes, including potential stimulus under a new administration, could reintroduce inflationary pressures, … Continue reading

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Can The Fed Cut Rates w/ Financial Conditions So Easy?

The Fed’s attempt to tighten monetary policy is being cannibalized by the private sector’s accelerated easing of financial conditions through market-based financial instruments.  The following chart is simply stunning.    Since the Fed began its monetary tightening campaign in March … Continue reading

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BFTP: The Biggest Risk At The Fed

BFTP = Blast From The Past It’s now been more than a year since this post.   We can’t take a victory lap on such nonsense but we will say, “we told you so.”   The consequences are gonna be … Continue reading

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Fed’s Failure To Communicate, Markets’ Failure To Count

Not to beat a dead horse but the following example just reinforces our last post. What the market perceives, Investors who are hoping the Federal Reserve signals a change or adjustment in its balance sheet policy on Wednesday are likely … Continue reading

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The Automatic Tapering Of Quantitative Tightening

We heard a market pundit today mention the Fed will soon begin to taper its reduction in the balance sheet.  The pundit seemed convinced the balance sheet reduction is on track to total $600 billion per year as far as … Continue reading

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The Biggest Risk At The Fed

It is FOMC day, and the committee just raised the Fed Funds rate another 25 bps. Well, actually, they increased the interest rate on excess reserves (IOER) by 25 bps to target a higher Fed Funds rate.   That is an additional … Continue reading

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FOMC Dot Plot & Other Data – March 21

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