Category Archives: China

THICK AS A BRIC – U.S. Stocks Outperform Star E.M.s

To the surprise of many, the U.S. stock indices are set to outperform those of the beloved BRICs in 2010.   As of December 23rd, China and Brazil are down for the year with the Russian RTS the top performer, up … Continue reading

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Hang Seng Index – Indicator Species for Global Risk?

We like to look at Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index as the “indicator species” for global risk appetite.   Over our 25 years of trading, we have noticed that the Hang Seng tends to lead most risk markets and is … Continue reading

Posted in Charts, China, Equities | Tagged , , , , | 21 Comments

U.S. Equities Gettin’ Jiggy…No Love for the Haters

The Christmas Ramp continues as stocks remain firmly bid even going into this weekend’s monetary event risk in China.   There’s a whiff of panic as under allocated investors watch the markets runaway and refuse to correct (see chart below). The … Continue reading

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Shanghai Watch

We’re are watching to see if the Shanghai Composite can hold its 200-day moving average right around 2,800.  There is widespread speculation the People’s Bank of China will raise interest rates this weekend for the second time in the tightening … Continue reading

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China Rate Hike This Weekend?

The China Securities Journal, not citing a source,  says the timing is right for a rate hike this weekend.  It would be the second of the current tightening cycle.   Reuters reports, “With reference to the central bank’s record of … Continue reading

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Gold Spike Coming? Straw BRICs to Gold BRICs

There’s lots of chatter about China buying gold.  It was a big factor in Friday’s $30 move.  Jim Cramer was all over it, pounding the table the “secular trend” is not going away. The Wall Street Journal reported Friday, Data … Continue reading

Posted in BRICs, China, Gold | Tagged , , | 4 Comments

Will It Hold?

China ‘s PMI came in at 55.2 from 54.7 in October, better than expected.  The reports also showed input prices surging, however, reinforcing expectations that interest rate hikes are imminent.   The Shanghai Composite is right at its 200-day moving average … Continue reading

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Equity Bulls Battle on Two Fronts

The slow improvement of the U.S. economy, reflected in weekly jobless claims, coupled with QE2 is providing an underlying bid to the equity market, which is surprising to many, given the increasingly ugly global macro picture.  On the Western Front, … Continue reading

Posted in China, Commodities, Currency, Equities, Geopolitical, Japan, PIIGS, Rare Earth Elements, Sovereign Debt, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

China Rising: THE MARKET for Exports

We thought these charts of export markets from Barclays Capital to be very illustrious of the dynamic changes taking place in global trade.  China is becoming a larger export market than the U.S. for many countries, including Australia, Brazil, Korea, … Continue reading

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Stat of the Day: Average Daily Return on Up Days…..

We thought this is an interesting statistic.   Of the major equity markets we track, the Brazilian Bovespa ranks número um in terms of the average daily return on up days.  We need to do further work on this,  controlling for … Continue reading

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