Category Archives: Equities

Mr. Market Weakens U.S. Negotiating Position With China

Posted on March 22, 2018 by macromon

Last week we were thinking about pulling together a post using game theory to predict the outcome of the Trump administration’s tariff announcement.   JP Morgan beat us to it, however. More interesting is the JPM quant’s assertion that Trump will … Continue reading →

Posted in China, Equities, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 21 Comments

Market Digits You Need To Know…

Posted on March 19, 2018 by macromon

Running out to passport office and we will be out a few days.  Here are the market data you need to know: Recovery faltering… S&P held 100-day moving average and closed above 50% key fibo today.  Put down today’s low … Continue reading →

Posted in Equities, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Why This Correction Is Different

Posted on March 18, 2018 by macromon

Those dreaded words you never want to hear as an investor, “this time is different.” Stock and Bond Correlation It does apply to the latest stock market correction, however. The sell-off that began on January 29th spanned ten trading days and … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, Equities, Fed, Uncategorized | 30 Comments

Key Price Points And Data

Posted on March 14, 2018 by macromon

The S&P500 is sitting right at and testing its 50-day moving average.  We think it’s important you have the key levels and market context.  Note the Nasdaq has fallen back through its old high. Here you go:  

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JFK-Trump Analog: 3 bps On The Eve Of A Big Rollover

Posted on March 14, 2018 by macromon

You need to sit down for this one. The JFK-Trump S&P500 analog is only three bps apart on Day 338 after election day.  That is only a one S&P500 point difference, folks.  Absolutely stunning. We had almost given up on … Continue reading →

Posted in Equities, Uncategorized | 13 Comments

Major Stock Index Recovery Percentages

Posted on March 12, 2018 by macromon

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Major Stock Index Recovery Percentages

Posted on March 9, 2018 by macromon

Today’s big rally on the back of the Goldilocks employment report, i.e, strong jobs growth and moderate wage pressures, took the Nasdaq, with its 45 percent tech weighting,  to an all-time high.  Not the overall market, however, as the NYSE … Continue reading →

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Major Stock Index Recovery Percentages

Posted on March 7, 2018 by macromon

Bouncing around.  Doesn’t seem like many real sellers out there.  Traders and ‘bots push the indices down and then have to cover into the close.  We wrote about this in our Week In Review post this past Sunday. Risks are … Continue reading →

Posted in Equities, President Trump, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Can The Bears Deliver The Knockout Punch?

Posted on March 6, 2018 by macromon

Yes, we believe so. https://twitter.com/HistoryInPix/status/967915137142280192 Maybe not tomorrow, maybe not next week, but sometime this year the S&P500 will break into bear market territory at 2,298.30,  20 percent off its January 26th high, and 15.76 percent down from today’s close.  

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The “Navarro Falls” Beckon

Posted on March 6, 2018 by macromon

Right on schedule the barrel and catalyst —  in the form of Gary Cohn’s resignation — cue up to take stocks over the waterfall. Let’s call it what it is, “The Niagara Navarro Falls“. . Cramer’s Mad Money Wow, it … Continue reading →

Posted in Bonds, Equities, President Trump, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 4 Comments