We are now in this war. We are all in it- all the way. Every single man, woman, and child is a partner in the most tremendous undertaking of our American history. We must share together the bad news and the good news, the defeats and the victories—the changing fortunes of war. — President Franklin Roosevelt, Dec 1941 Fireside Chat
…the one who doubts is like a wave of the sea, blown and tossed by the wind… Such a person is double-minded and unstable in all they do. – Book Of James 1: 6-8
Great work by my good friend, Professor Constantin Gurdgiev of Macroview.eu
The U.S. case curve is accelerating, that is going parabolic — for all the math geeks, the second derivative, that rate of change of the rate of change — has flipped back to positive. The death curve will follow.
The Coming COVID Apocalypse
As the good professor just posted,
This is dangerous and will collide with the coming flu season and general election.
Don’t be surprised if you begin to hear the drumbeats of delaying or canceling the November election.
Think forward, folks. Take to heart the words of the great one.
Hat Tip: Coach Carol
Stages of Controlling The COVID Pandemic
To gain control of an exponential growth pandemic:
Stage One – get the case curve to bend down, i.e., negative second derivative as Europe did months ago;
Stage Two – flatten the case curve, the first derivative goes to zero. That is, the rate of change is zero. No new case, such as New Zeland, who essentially eradicated COVID (see chart below but don’t confuse with total case curve)
Stage Three – t
It Could Have Been Avoided
All of the above is not surprising to us given the colossal failure of leadership in America and how the U.S. body politic has morphed into a spectrum divided between the a fact-based population and the conspiracy (National Enquirer in the chart) based, as we posted last October, even before COVID was a word,
The New Political Spectrum
We are starting to wonder if facts matter anymore.
The post-modern nightmare now seems fully realized in today’s culture, where there is no reality only constructions of reality. There is no truth, there are no facts. It’s true only if you believe it’s true.
We reject this nonsense and are becoming convinced the new political spectrum is not about the left and the right anymore but it is bookended by a fact-based reality versus the conspiracy dominant, or, what we call the National Enquirer based.
– GMM, October 2019
Also, see these posts:
The Global Supply & Demand Shock Of The Coronavirus, January 31st
Is America Already Waving The White Flag?, March 23rd
Florida Should Quarantine Itself, March 28th
The Plan Is, There Is No Plan, April 21st
America’s Bearish Day At The Beach, April 25th
A Colossal Failure Of Presidential Leadership, June 29th
Canada Crushed The COVID Curve As The U.S. Struggles, July 5th
We leave you with this,
…This is distressing. Our generation(s) are failing its big test, which almost ensures a prolonged economic depression…
Newport & Huntington v Omaha Beach
Sacrificing the beach to sit at home on the couch and watch reruns of the Dodgers and Lakers is hardly a test. How long would we have lasted on the beaches of Normandy and the stress of the Great Depression? That beach in the above picture is hardly Omaha beach and those on the beach are not exactly patriots storming the beach, though we are empathetic to thier plight, even if LA is in the midst of a record-breaking heatwave and the Orange County beaches are open for business.
Our lack of discipline, some of which is the result of failed political leadership, is only going to prolong the health and economic crisis. A double-minded country is unstable in all her ways.
If sitting on the couch awhile longer to protect the last few of the Greatest Generation and America’s vulnerable is too big of a sacrifice then, “Houston, we have a [big freaking] problem.” COVID has exposed some very big cracks in American society.
If you want to go to the beach that’s fine as long as it doesn’t put others at risk. But it does, not only your immediate family but entire communities and the country. – GMM, April 25th
Our “Call To Duty” Hardly Compares To The Greatest Genenation
Wearing a mask, sitting on your couch. and watching Netflix hardly compares to the “call to duty” of the Greatest Generation. We have failed and we have failed miserably.
It is a surprise given the deep, dark Jonestown-esque shit coming out of these bat shit crazy Idjits?
Global Macro Monitor 