Sector ETF Performance – February 22

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ETF_YTD

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Global Risk Monitor – February 22

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Bovine Math & Physics

Awesome!  I am a yuuuge ‘Horns fan.  Hook ’em, baby!

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Annual Rank Change Of Top 15 Global Brands

This is nonlinear wild.  What do you think the top global brand will be in ten years?

 

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Ten Plus Great Weekend Reads – February 22

NHere’s Why There Are So Few Short Sellers With Park Avenue Penthouses

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  • Warren Buffett Can’t Find Anything Big to Buy – WSJ
  • Why the Fed may shift to buying Treasurys next year – MarketWatch
  • Buybacks could be on the way to another record even as politicians try to kill them – CNBC
  • New iPhone Leak Exposes Apple’s Serious Business Problem – Forbes
  • Deutsche Bank Lost $1.6 Billion on a Bond Bet – WSJ
  • Stock market is ‘stoned on free money’ and it could ‘prove fatal’ – MarketWatch

 

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  • A “nuclear option” to resolve Venezuela’s debt woes – FT Alphaville
  • Jair Bolsonaro tackles Brazil’s pensions problem – Economist
  • Low-risk investments are fueling more private equity repurchases – Axios
  • Inside the fraught race to manage China’s money – Institutional Investor
  • Business Investment Falters Amid Growing Global Economic Uncertainty – WSJ
  • Made in the USA: inside one company’s all-American supply chain – FT
  • Dairy farmers are in crisis — and it could change Wisconsin forever – Journal Sentinel 
  • President Tariff Man may be learning all the wrong lessons from his trade wars – Washington Post
  • The global soyabean market has been upended – Economist

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Bonus

  • Hedge Fund and Insider Trading News: Paul Tudor Jones, David Tepper, Paul Singer, & SAC Capital – Insider Monkey
  • The Greatest Investor You’ve Never Heard Of: An Optometrist Who Beat The Odds To Become A Billionaire – Forbes
  • “She Never Looks Back”: Inside Elizabeth Holme’s Chilling Final Months At Theranos – Vanity Fair
  • Finance v physics: even ‘flash boys’ can’t go faster than light – FT
  • The AI Road to Serfdom? Robert Skidelsky – Project Syndicate
  • AI wrote this story – Axios
  • Deepfakes and the New Disinformation War: The Coming Age of Post-Truth Geopolitics – Foreign Affairs
  • These Are the Americans Who Live in a Bubble – Atlantic
  • Wealthy, Successful, and Miserable – NY Times
  • Top 100 MLB Players of 2019 – Sports Illustrated

There are no holes in [Mike] Trout’s game, no way to attack him, no flaws that present themselves. He is the dictionary definition of The Best of The Best of The Best. Long may he reign. – Sports Illustrated

Sweden sees microchip implant revolution 

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Getting Long Rami Malek

Going long 100 contracts of Rami Malek to bring home the Oscar for best actor on Sunday night for his portrayal of Freddie Mercury in Bohemian Rhapsody.   Simply some of the best acting you will ever see.

Here is the fundamental and technical picture:

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China’s AI News Anchors

Scary real if not a deep fake…  Or just fake.

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Wall Street Algos v. Baseball Sabermetrics

Mike Santoli dishes on Wall Street algorithms and Baseball Sabermetrics.  Very cool!

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Can free-cash handouts help society? | The Economist

This is not going away.

Listened to a Ray Kurzweil podcast the other night.  He said UBI will be ubiquitous by 2030.

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China trade deal is near and Beijing will get everything it wanted – CNBC

  • The U.S.-China trade dispute appears to be ending: Signals are pointing to a done deal. Based on those signs, China will continue to run large trade surpluses with the U.S., and it will never accept Washington-imposed reforms of its trade and industry.
  • U.S. President Donald Trump was apparently (ill) advised that China’s readiness to reduce the bilateral trade imbalance won’t be enough.
  • An election-bound Trump wants the China trade problem out of the way.

Trump was apparently (ill) advised that China’s readiness to reduce the bilateral trade imbalance won’t be enough. No, Washington needed to impose on China enforceable structural reforms. Without that, as has been frequently repeated by U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, China’s destabilizing trade surpluses would be back in no time. – CNBC

This is a no win situation for Trump.  Markets will rally temporarily and then sell, in our opinion.

Also, lot’s of Mad King risk.

Trump will be accused of being weak and out negotiated.   Fox News is already pounding him to nuke the China trade deal.  Conversely,   Forbes is saying the March 1 tariffs cometh.

Who knows how POTUS will react to another one of these covers?

 

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There is history.

Go no further than the recent government shutdown.  A repeat, similar to that, will be a disaster.

Oh yes,  you did hear it here waay first.

Kudos to POTUS for trying but the U.S. would be in much better shape if the administration had handled the China talks with a multilateral approach, enlisting allies – who were with us — and negotiating through the World Trade Organization (WTO).

 

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