Tag Archives: Politics

Global Risk Monitor: Week in Review – March 7

Key Facts and Observations: Major U.S. indices declined significantly due to tariff uncertainties. The euro currency spiked after Germany announced a massive fiscal spending package. Germany’s new budgetary strategy caused historic bond yield increases. ECB lowered rates amid slowing inflation … Continue reading

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Germany Swings Right

Today’s German federal election has delivered a decisive yet complex verdict, with Friedrich Merz’s center-right Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU) securing a plurality of the vote at around 29%, as exit polls suggest. Meanwhile, the far-right Alternative for Germany … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – January 31

The financial markets are poised for heightened volatility following President Donald Trump’s decision to impose broad tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China. The move, which includes a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada and a 10% tariff on … Continue reading

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Global Risk Monitor: Week In Review – Nov 29

Cracks in Global Economies Amid Easy Financial Conditions Despite the extremely easy financial conditions in the United States as measured by the Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI), significant economic stress is emerging across key markets, exposing vulnerabilities that … Continue reading

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La France sous pression

Key Facts: Market Impact: French 10-year bond yield spreads hit their highest since 2012, reflecting investor concerns about political instability. Budget Controversy: The €60bn budget proposal includes significant austerity measures, risking parliamentary backlash. Political Stakes: Far-right leader Marine Le Pen’s … Continue reading

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Japan Political Earthquake: LDP Tanks

Key Facts The LDP coalition lost its majority, holding only 214 of the 233 required seats. Voter dissatisfaction stems from years of stagnant wages and rising costs. The loss is the LDP’s worst electoral result since 2009. Ishiba, newly appointed, … Continue reading

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Swing State Economic Outperformance

Key Points: Six of seven key battleground states outpaced national GDP growth in Q2 2024. Michigan and Wisconsin were among the top 10 fastest-growing states. Pennsylvania rebounded after contracting in Q1. Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina saw higher-than-average growth. Nevada’s … Continue reading

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No Country For Old Men

Wendell:    That’s very linear, Sheriff.Ed Tom Bell:    Well, age will flatten a man. – No Country For Old Men When I was younger, I could remember anything, whether it had happened or not; but my faculties are decaying … Continue reading

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Time To Fear The American Street 2.0

Here’s a repost to keep on your radar, given the expected fireworks on Tuesday.  Getting long water canons and the National Guard. The question is which side does the National Guard side with in the Red States?  Will Biden have … Continue reading

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Susan Rice VEEP Pick Ramping

Susan Rice has narrowed a 33 point gap on August 2nd in the prediction markets to within 7 points of Senator Kamala Harris to become Joe Biden’s choice as the Democratic vice presidential nominee.     See our July 19th post, … Continue reading

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