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Category Archives: Commodities
Bank of Japan Outlines Nikkei ETF Purchases
After yesterday’s FOMC action and Ben Bernanke’s Op/Ed in the Washington Post essentially stating the Fed is targeting the stock market, we now get the Bank of Japan’s outline for asset purchases. Next week the BoJ begins buying Nikkei and … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Commodities, Gold, Monetary Policy, Policy
Tagged Bank of Japan, Nikkei ETF Purchases, Statement on Monetary Policy
1 Comment
‘Firewall needed’ to prevent cash surge – China Daily
We have written in numerous posts about John Bull’s “Tsunami of Dollars” flooding into the emerging markets. China Daily writes, China should “set up a firewall” as uncontrolled dollar printing in the United States will drive more liquidity into … Continue reading
Posted in BRICs, China, Commodities, Credit, Currency, Equities, Gold, Monetary Policy
Tagged China, Currency Wars, Event Risk, G20
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GIDDY-FRICKIN-UP!
Was it Bernanke’s piece in today’s Washinginton Post that a higher stock market is the economy’s healing balm? This approach eased financial conditions in the past and, so far, looks to be effective again. Stock prices rose and long-term interest … Continue reading
Posted in Commodities, Currency, Equities, Monetary Policy, Policy
Tagged Bernanke, Monetary Policy, Stock Market
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“Bernanke… is fundamentally misguided” – Newt Gingrich
We are wondering out loud if a Tea Party/Republican rout with both houses of Congress changing hands could blindside markets with a huge short covering rally in the dollar? QE2 needs to be large enough to offset the positive dollar … Continue reading
Posted in Commodities, Currency, Fiscal Policy, Gold, Monetary Policy, Politics
Tagged Bernanke, Gingrich, Monetary Policy, Tea Party
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Robert Prechter’s 100 Predictions – 7 years later
Here are 100 predictions that Elliot Wave Theorist, Robert Prechter, made in October 2003. As my econ professor once said, “if you’re going to forecast, forecast a lot and forecast often.” No mention of the rise of Apple or the … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, China, Commodities, Currency, Equities, Geopolitical, Policy, Politics, Sovereign Risk, Whales
Tagged Predictions, Robert Prechter
10 Comments
Rare Earth Day 3.0
The Rare Earths continue to rock today in a down market as the story unfolds. Germany announced yesterday the rare earth supply shortage is starting to hit their industrial base. The Chinese canceled a three-way high level meeting with Japan … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, BRICs, China, Commodities, Geopolitical, Gold, Rare Earth Elements
Tagged China, Equities, Geopolitical, Rare Earth
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US Budget Deficit 9th Largest Economy in the World
After falling to a low of 2.33 percent on October 8th, the 10-day Treasury has sold-off closing today at a yield of 2.64 percent. The recent high is around 2.83 percent, which we will be watching closely. To get a … Continue reading
Posted in Bonds, Commodities, Credit, Currency, Equities, Geopolitical, Gold, Monetary Policy, Policy
Tagged bonds, Budget Deficit, QE2
1 Comment
Rare Earth Stocks Up Big on China Restrictions
China announced further limits on its Rare Earth exports today. The country controls 97 percent of the world’s supply, which are critical for hi-tech products, including smart phones, hybrid and electric vehicles, and cruise missiles. Hard to read if … Continue reading
Posted in China, Commodities, Currency, Geopolitical, Politics, Rare Earth Elements, Sovereign Risk, Uncategorized
Tagged China, Molycorp, Rare Earth, Rare Earth Elements, Trade
2 Comments
Fed creating “grave distortions” – Brazil Central Bank
Brazil is considering additional measures to keep the Real from appreciating any further. We like the Economist’s Big Mac Index, which is based on the concept of purchasing-power parity, to get a sense of the over/undervaluation of a currency. The … Continue reading
Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, BRICs, China, Commodities, Currency, Geopolitical, Gold, Monetary Policy, News, Policy, Politics, Sovereign Risk
Tagged Big Mac Index, Brazil, China, Currency, Currency Wars, Zero Interest Rate Monetary Policy
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Rare Earth Day 2.0
Take a look at Rare Earth (not the band) today. Lots of market buzz as Molycorp (MCP) up over 10 percent and Rare Earth Elements (REE) up over 22 percent. Recall our take on the Rare Earth trade as “gold … Continue reading
Posted in Commodities, Geopolitical, Gold, Politics, Rare Earth Elements, Sovereign Risk
Tagged China, Commodities, Japan, Rare Earth, Strategic Minerals
2 Comments
