Category Archives: Charts

Targets of Yield-Seeking Capital

This graph from the World Bank illustrates why Brazil is having such a problem with capital inflows.  Capital will always seek out the highest risk-adjusted return. During times of excess liquidity and low interest rates, however,  markets ignore or jettison … Continue reading

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Chart of the Day: Country GDPs and American States

In case you missed it,  a great chart from the Economist comparing the size of country GDPs to American states.   This gives some perspective on the relative size of the U.S. economy.

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The Week in Review: Waiting for Godot

This market just won’t quit!  The S&P500 hasn’t had a one percent correction since November 23rd and those waiting for a better entry just keep waiting and waiting and waiting.  France’s CAC was the best weekly performer of the major … Continue reading

Posted in Apple, Bonds, BRICs, Charts, China, Commodities, Energy, Equities, Euro, Week in Review | 1 Comment

Intel Inside: Macro Notes from the Conference Call

Intel announced a 48 percent y/y jump in 4Q net income after the bell driven by strong corporate spending.  The company plans to step-up capital spending to $ 9 BN in 2011 with the emerging markets their main driver of  … Continue reading

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S&P500 and Years That End In ‘1

“Nowhere does history indulge in repetitions so often or so uniformly as in Wall Street.” — Edwin Lefèvre,    Reminiscences Of A Stock Operator Years That End ‘1 Exhibit Strong Seasonality The above was cited in an article in this month’s … Continue reading

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The [First] Week in Review: A Capital Flows Sandwich?

Not a bad start to the year if you were in the right space.  A Frenchman with a long position in “Apple the Sovereign” was up over 8 percent in Euros.   Note, Apple rose another $2.00 to $338 after Friday’s … Continue reading

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Are we too short Bernanke?

Sometimes we like to channel our inner bull, as in bovine, which is rare for ex-bond traders.  Trying to see all angles of the dimly lit statue we call the market is a necessity to manage the risk that: a)  … Continue reading

Posted in Black Swan Watch, Bonds, Budget Deficit, Charts, Economics, Equities, Fiscal Policy, Sovereign Risk | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

The Great Monetary Policy Swan Dive

Great chart from the OECD illustrating the dramatic actions taken by the world’s major central banks during the financial crisis.   The massive collapse in short-term interest rates has reduced income of savers and the splash of the heavyweight central banks … Continue reading

Posted in Bonds, BRICs, Charts, China, Monetary Policy, Policy | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

THICK AS A BRIC – U.S. Stocks Outperform Star E.M.s

To the surprise of many, the U.S. stock indices are set to outperform those of the beloved BRICs in 2010.   As of December 23rd, China and Brazil are down for the year with the Russian RTS the top performer, up … Continue reading

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Apple’s Seasonal Trading Pattern

Lot’s of chatter how poorly Apple is trading.  We’ve looked at the past six years of December trading and this year’s action is no different from the ghosts of Christmas past.  After popping on the October earnings announcement, the stock … Continue reading

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